Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 23

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Nadderud Stadion (Bekkestua)

Referee: Valen O. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Stabæk		Sogndal

	1	X	2
	1.36	6.00	5.75
	1.36	5.50	6.00
	1.32	5.25	6.40
	1.37	5.65	7.30
	1.34	6.04	6.61	Watch
	1.34	5.50	7.15
	1.37	6.02	5.77	Watch
	1.33	5.40	6.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.44)	5.67 ↑ (5.21)	6.37 ↑ (5.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stabæk
69%

Draw
16.4%

Sogndal
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

17.9%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

17.3%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stabæk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Sogndal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stabæk than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sogndal than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Stabæk - Sogndal Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Stabæk will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Sogndal will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Ulla M. (G) 2. Riise F. 4. Naess N. (C) 5. Skjelvik J. 29. Ekorness K. 6. Matic A. 7. Solnordal O. 16. Hoven A. 24. Hanstad J. 9. Sanyang A. 21. Krogstad F.	1. Jendal L. (G) 88. Onyango R. 4. Hovland E. (C) 32. Oren M. 35. Hillestad E. L. 7. Woxen H. 8. Gausdal L. 19. Pippola T. 10. Skaanes K. 16. Vapne L. 9. Arierhi K.
Substitutes
33. Aamodt A. 27. Hansen M. 14. Lereng E. 1. Lokkevik K. (G) 34. Myklebust L. 18. Osman S. 20. Rapp G. 28. Santos D. 15. Veum O.	20. Asp P. 24. Bieszczad K. (G) 39. Flo E. 3. Flo F. 15. Helen O. 31. Kongelf D.
Coaches
Kjell A.	Bakke E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Hanstad J. ⚽, Hoven A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, Skaanes K. ⚽, Gausdal L. (A),
54', Riise F. ↓, Aamodt A. ↑,
70', Krogstad F. ↓, Santos D. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Hanstad J. ⚽, Santos D. (A),
85', Hoven A. ↓, Lereng E. ↑,
86', Solnordal O. 🟨,
90', Gausdal L. ↓, Flo E. ↑,
90', Hillestad E. L. ↓, Flo F. ↑,
90', Oren M. ↓, Asp P. ↑,
90+3', Matic A. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 4th in the Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ PlayoffsSemi~finals) and 13th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stabæk won 2.

Stabæk is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Sogndal have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Stabæk could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The betting markets point to Stabæk as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Stabæk has recorded 6 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:25 (averaging 1.6:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Stabæk against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 13:8 goals (averaging 1.4:0.9 per game).

Outrights of Norwegian Adeccoligaen for now

Stabaek: 0.59%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Stabaek	24	14	3	7	57:31	26	45
14	Sogndal	23	6	5	12	38:53	-15	23

Last Results with these Odds

Stabæk - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 64.89%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stabæk Fotball
Norwegian NM Cup
16.09.26	Pors - Stabæk	2:1 AET ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
12.09.26	Bryne - Stabæk	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Stabæk - Moss	2:3 ✺
30.08.26	Hødd - Stabæk	2:1 ✺
26.08.26	Stabæk - Ranheim	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW
- Sogndal Fotball
Norwegian NM Cup
16.09.26	Sotra - Sogndal	1:2 penalties ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
13.09.26	Sogndal - Strømmen	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Haugesund - Sogndal	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Sogndal - Strømsgodset	2:3 ✺
26.08.26	Moss - Sogndal	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
20.05.26	Sogndal - Stabæk	2:2
Club Friendly
06.03.26	Stabæk - Sogndal	1:0
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
18.08.25	Stabæk - Sogndal	1:2
26.07.25	Sogndal - Stabæk	1:1
28.09.24	Stabæk - Sogndal	2:0
Club Friendly
13.07.24	Stabæk - Sogndal	3:3
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
01.06.24	Sogndal - Stabæk	2:3

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