Match Info

ENGLAND: FA TROPHY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Stafford Rangers		Brackley Town

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.9	1.49
	5.5	4.2	1.52
	5.2	4.38	1.53
	5.76	4.58	1.47
	5.5	3.8	1.5
	6.05	4.4	1.45
	5.4	4	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.52 ↓ (5.71)	4.18 ↑ (3.8)	1.49 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stafford Rangers
16.6%

Draw
22%

Brackley Town
61.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

23.9%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.8%

22.6%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stafford Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Brackley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stafford Rangers than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Stafford Rangers - Brackley Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Stafford is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Brackley is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Stafford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Brackley have a series of home games.

In this match Brackley is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stafford Rangers
English NPL Premier Division
14.11.23	Worksop Town - Stafford Rangers	5:0 ✺
11.11.23	Stafford Rangers - Morpeth Town	0:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
28.10.23	Stafford Rangers - Quorn	5:3 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
24.10.23	Radcliffe - Stafford Rangers	3:1 ✺
21.10.23	Stafford Rangers - Bamber Bridge	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLT
- Brackley Town
English National League North
14.11.23	Brackley Town - Gloucester City	2:0 ✺
11.11.23	Brackley Town - Blyth Spartans	1:1 ✺
07.11.23	Hereford - Brackley Town	1:0 ✺
28.10.23	Brackley Town - South Shields	1:1 ✺
24.10.23	Brackley Town - Rushall Olympic	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WTLTL

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