Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 1

Date: 22 July 2024, Monday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Rzeszowie (Rzeszow)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Stal Rzeszów		Arka Gdynia

	1	X	2
	4	3.7	1.75	Watch
	3.8	3.75	1.77
	3.75	4	1.8
	4.01	4.07	1.8
	4.17	3.96	1.74	Watch
	3.7	3.8	1.73
	4	3.94	1.74	Watch
	3.95	3.75	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↑ (3.1)	3.87 ↑ (3.15)	1.75 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stal Rzeszów
23.5%

Draw
23.8%

Arka Gdynia
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

27.9%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Rzeszów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arka Gdynia's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.1%	0%	78.9%

Stal Rzeszów - Arka Gdynia Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Stal Rzeszów will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Arka will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arka: 58.6% – 97%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bakowski K. (G) 2. Warczak P. 4. Synos M. 14. Koscielny K. 22. Simcak M. 7. Lysiak K. 46. Lyczko S. 31. Thill S. 21. Kadziolka S. 30. Diaz J. 11. Prokic A.	1. Lenarcik P. (G) 2. Navarro M. 32. Stolc P. 29. Marcjanik M. 94. Gojny D. (C) 9. Gaprindashvili T. 31. Staniszewski J. 20. Borecki M. 17. Oliveira J. 7. Sobczak S. 10. Czubak K.
Substitutes
89. Bala T. . Gaza A. 91. Oleksy P. 45. Pasko K. 27. Pena C. 44. Piotrowski B. 48. Plichta K. 12. Raciniewski J. (G) 18. Wachowiak K.	11. Adamczyk H. 28. Gorecki K. . Jakubczyk K. 39. Lipkowski K. . Ratajczyk A. 21. Skora K. 27. Vitalucci H. . Weglarz D. (G) 23. Zielinski W.
Coaches
Zub M.	Lobodzinski W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Borecki M. 🟨,
66', Sobczak S. ↓, Vitalucci H. ↑,
66', Borecki M. ↓, Adamczyk H. ↑,
70', Prokic A. ↓, Bala T. ↑,
75', Gaprindashvili T. ↓, Skora K. ↑,
75', Oliveira J. ↓, Ratajczyk A. ↑,
81', 1 - 0, Diaz J. ⚽, Bala T. (A),
84', Kadziolka S. ↓, Piotrowski B. ↑,
86', Staniszewski J. ↓, Zielinski W. ↑,
86', Marcjanik M. 🟨,
90', Lyczko S. ↓, Pena C. ↑,
90', Diaz J. ↓, Wachowiak K. ↑,

Preview

Arka is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Arka is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Stal Rzeszów won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Stal Rzeszów won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stal Rzeszów
Club Friendly
12.07.24	Stal Rzeszów - Stal Mielec	0:5 ✺
06.07.24	Stal Rzeszów - Hapoel Beer Sheva	3:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
26.05.24	Stal Rzeszów - Polonia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
18.05.24	Górnik Łęczna - Stal Rzeszów	1:3 ✺
11.05.24	Stal Rzeszów - Termalica Nieciecza	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26 LWLWW
- Arka Gdynia
Club Friendly
13.07.24	Arka Gdynia - Olimpia Grudziądz	2:2 ✺
10.07.24	Randers FC - Arka Gdynia	2:1 ✺
07.07.24	Viborg - Arka Gdynia	2:0 ✺
Polish Division 1
02.06.24	Arka Gdynia - Motor Lublin	1:2 ✺
30.05.24	Arka Gdynia - Odra Opole	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
25.02.24	Arka Gdynia - Stal Rzeszów	5:1
13.08.23	Stal Rzeszów - Arka Gdynia	2:3
07.05.23	Stal Rzeszów - Arka Gdynia	2:1
09.10.22	Arka Gdynia - Stal Rzeszów	2:2

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