Match Info

Division 1 - Round 17

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Rzeszowie (Rzeszow)

Referee: Jenda M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Stal Rzeszów		GKS Tychy

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	2.9	Watch
	2.18	3.65	2.88
	2.77	3.7	2.42
	2.23	3.59	2.91	Watch
	2.14	3.5	2.89
	2.2	3.18	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.2)	3.52 ↑ (3.18)	2.81 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stal Rzeszów
40.7%

Draw
26.3%

GKS Tychy
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

28.1%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

26.3%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Rzeszów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

GKS Tychy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Rzeszów than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Tychy than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	23.1%	30.8%

Stal Rzeszów - GKS Tychy Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Stal Rzeszów will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). GKS Tychy will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stal Rzeszów: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Stal Rzeszów (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Koziol M. (G) 2. Warczak P. 39. Kaczor M. 3. Krasovskiy V. 77. Kukulka K. 17. Slawinski O. 7. Lysiak K. 31. Thill S. (C) 46. Lyczko S. 10. Jonathan Junior 18. Wachowiak K.	31. Kolotylo K. (G) 4. Lipkowski K. 3. Teclaw J. (C) 18. Stefansson O. 37. Keiblinger J. 28. Kalemba M. L. 8. Szpakowski M. 11. Blachewicz M. 22. Kubik T. 92. Kadzior D. 9. Rumin D.
Substitutes
91. Darwish S. 21. Kadziolka S. 20. Kucharski J. 9. Masiak K. 19. Musik M. 23. Postupalskyi I. 4. Synos M. 1. Vanivskyi S. (G) 25. Wolski F.	15. Bieronski J. 5. Glogowski K. 47. Jankowski B. 21. Machowski K. 10. Makowski R. 7. Sanyang M. 19. Stangret M. 1. Wechsel L. (G) 99. Woudstra Y.
Coaches
Zub M.	Piszczek L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Jonathan Junior ⚽, Lyczko S. (A),
15', Kadzior D. 🟨,
18', 1 - 1, Teclaw J. ⚽, Rumin D. (A),
23', Blachewicz M. 🟨,
45', Kubik T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lysiak K. ↓, Kucharski J. ↑,
62', Lyczko S. ↓, Masiak K. ↑,
62', Wachowiak K. ↓, Wolski F. ↑,
69', Blachewicz M. 🟨,
71', Slawinski O. ↓, Kadziolka S. ↑,
73', Masiak K. 🟨,
76', Kadzior D. ↓, Sanyang M. ↑,
80', Jonathan Junior ↓, Darwish S. ↑,
82', Rumin D. ↓, Woudstra Y. ↑,
82', Stefansson O. ↓, Glogowski K. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Kucharski J. ⚽, Thill S. (A),
86', Szpakowski M. 🟨,
88', Szpakowski M. ↓, Bieronski J. ↑,
88', Kalemba M. L. ↓, Stangret M. ↑,
90+2', Teclaw J. 🟨,
90+8', Kubik T. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Rzeszów won 1.

Stal Rzeszów is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

GKS Tychy has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Stal Rzeszów won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Stal Rzeszów won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stal Rzeszów
Polish Division 1
08.11.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Stal Rzeszów	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Stal Rzeszów - Pogoń Siedlce	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Wisła Kraków - Stal Rzeszów	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Stal Rzeszów - ŁKS Łódź	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
09.10.25	Górnik Łęczna - Stal Rzeszów	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTLLL
- GKS Tychy
Polish Division 1
09.11.25	GKS Tychy - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
31.10.25	Ruch Chorzów - GKS Tychy	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	GKS Tychy - Chrobry Głogów	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	GKS Tychy - Wieczysta Kraków	3:3 ✺
05.10.25	ŁKS Łódź - GKS Tychy	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
14.04.25	GKS Tychy - Stal Rzeszów	1:0
30.09.24	Stal Rzeszów - GKS Tychy	5:1
17.12.23	GKS Tychy - Stal Rzeszów	2:0
30.07.23	Stal Rzeszów - GKS Tychy	1:2
28.05.23	GKS Tychy - Stal Rzeszów	0:0
29.10.22	Stal Rzeszów - GKS Tychy	1:2

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