Match Info

Division 1 - Round 15

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Rzeszowie (Rzeszow)

Referee: Kaliszewski F. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Stal Rzeszów		Pogoń Siedlce

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.6	3	Watch
	2.1	3.6	3
	2.18	3.59	2.87	Watch
	2.14	3.66	3.05
	2.08	3.5	2.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.18)	3.59 (3.59)	2.98 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Stal Rzeszów
43.4%

Draw
25.7%

Pogoń Siedlce
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

25.7%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

25.5%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Rzeszów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Pogoń Siedlce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Rzeszów than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Stal Rzeszów - Pogoń Siedlce Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Stal Rzeszów will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Koziol M. (G) 2. Warczak P. 3. Krasovskiy V. 39. Kaczor M. 18. Wachowiak K. 7. Lysiak K. 9. Masiak K. 21. Kadziolka S. 31. Thill S. (C) 46. Lyczko S. 10. Jonathan Junior	57. Lemanowicz J. (G) 14. Jakubik D. 3. Dembek B. 6. Flis M. 77. Pik D. 21. Stypulkowski S. 56. Demianiuk C. 10. Drag M. 11. Famulak M. 13. Podlinski K. 7. Szuprytowski D. (C)
Substitutes
91. Darwish S. 20. Kucharski J. 77. Kukulka K. 19. Musik M. 45. Piwnicki L. 24. Polap D. 23. Postupalskyi I. 1. Vanivskyi S. (G) 25. Wolski F.	23. Danielewicz K. 19. Kozlowski O. 4. Misiak P. 29. Niezgoda J. 9. Rybak A. 17. Saganowski F. 1. Tomkiel J. (G) 27. Zbrog J. 95. Zielonka N.
Coaches
Zub M.	Nocon A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Wachowiak K. 🟨,
24', Demianiuk C. 🟨,
33', Szuprytowski D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Stypulkowski S. 🟨,
52', Krasovskiy V. 🟨,
54', 0 - 1, Flis M. (Pen),
61', Stypulkowski S. ↓, Danielewicz K. ↑,
61', Lyczko S. ↓, Wolski F. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Masiak K. ⚽,
72', Demianiuk C. ↓, Zbrog J. ↑,
75', Masiak K. 🟨,
79', Thill S. 🟨,
81', Drag M. 🟨,
82', Masiak K. ↓, Musik M. ↑,
82', Jonathan Junior ↓, Darwish S. ↑,
84', Szuprytowski D. ↓, Zielonka N. ↑,
85', Famulak M. ↓, Rybak A. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Rzeszów won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Pogoń Siedlce may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Stal Rzeszów is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Stal Rzeszów won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Stal Rzeszów won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 2.3:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stal Rzeszów
Polish Division 1
26.10.25	Wisła Kraków - Stal Rzeszów	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Stal Rzeszów - ŁKS Łódź	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
09.10.25	Górnik Łęczna - Stal Rzeszów	4:0 ✺
Polish Division 1
03.10.25	Polonia Warsaw - Stal Rzeszów	2:3 ✺
27.09.25	Stal Rzeszów - Stal Mielec	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LLLWW
- Pogoń Siedlce
Polish Division 1
25.10.25	Pogoń Siedlce - ŁKS Łódź	3:1 ✺
17.10.25	Miedź Legnica - Pogoń Siedlce	2:2 ✺
04.10.25	Pogoń Siedlce - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	GKS Tychy - Pogoń Siedlce	1:3 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.25	Miedź Legnica - Pogoń Siedlce	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
30.03.25	Stal Rzeszów - Pogoń Siedlce	2:4
01.09.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Stal Rzeszów	1:1
Polish Division 2
01.05.22	Pogoń Siedlce - Stal Rzeszów	1:4
23.10.21	Stal Rzeszów - Pogoń Siedlce	3:0
07.04.21	Stal Rzeszów - Pogoń Siedlce	1:5
05.09.20	Pogoń Siedlce - Stal Rzeszów	0:2
17.11.19	Pogoń Siedlce - Stal Rzeszów	2:1

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