Match Info

Polish Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Rzeszowie (Rzeszow)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	TVP Sport


	Stal Rzeszów		Korona Kielce

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.55	3.7	1.88
	3.45	4.16	1.83
	4.53	2.99	1.92	Watch
	3.74	3.58	1.81	Watch
	3.5	3.5	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↑ (3.6)	3.59 ↓ (3.6)	1.85 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stal Rzeszów
24.6%

Draw
25.7%

Korona Kielce
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Rzeszów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Korona Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Rzeszów than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Stal Rzeszów - Korona Kielce Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Korona (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Users Predictions: Korona Kielce will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Koziol M. (G) 2. Warczak P. 3. Krasovskiy V. 4. Synos M. 31. Thill S. (C) 21. Kadziolka S. 7. Lysiak K. 18. Wachowiak K. 9. Masiak K. 10. Jonathan Junior 25. Wolski F.	87. Mamla R. (G) 23. Rubezic S. 44. Sotiriou K. 5. Resta P. 26. Popov V. 13. Strzebonski M. 88. Svetlin T. 3. Matuszewski K. 15. Niski N. 11. Nikolov V. 7. Blanik D. (C)
Substitutes
20. Kucharski J. 77. Kukulka K. 46. Lyczko S. 19. Musik M. 24. Polap D. 23. Postupalskyi I. 17. Slawinski O. 44. Soja M. 50. Wolff F. (G)	70. Antonin 9. Davidovic S. 71. Dlugosz W. 1. Dziekonski X. (G) 27. Kaminski W. 10. Nono 6. Pieczek M. 8. Remacle M. 24. Smolarczyk B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Nikolov V. 🟨,
40', Strzebonski M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Masiak K. ↓, Lyczko S. ↑,
46', Lysiak K. ↓, Postupalskyi I. ↑,
61', Nikolov V. ↓, Antonin ↑,
61', Strzebonski M. ↓, Remacle M. ↑,
61', Niski N. ↓, Dlugosz W. ↑,
64', 0 - 1, Resta P. ⚽,
70', Kadziolka S. ↓, Slawinski O. ↑,
70', Blanik D. ↓, Davidovic S. ↑,
82', Wolski F. ↓, Kukulka K. ↑,
87', Postupalskyi I. 🟨,
90', Jonathan Junior ↓, Musik M. ↑,

Preview

Recent performances by Stal Rzeszów have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Korona is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Stal Rzeszów may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Korona will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Stal Rzeszów won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:8. (average 3.5:4).

Including home match between the teams, Stal Rzeszów won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stal Rzeszów
Polish Division 1
19.09.25	Odra Opole - Stal Rzeszów	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Stal Rzeszów - Znicz Pruszków	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Górnik Łęczna - Stal Rzeszów	0:4 ✺
23.08.25	Stal Rzeszów - Miedź Legnica	1:2 ✺
20.08.25	Ruch Chorzów - Stal Rzeszów	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWLL
- Korona Kielce
Polish Ekstraklasa
20.09.25	Arka Gdynia - Korona Kielce	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Korona Kielce - Pogoń Szczecin	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Termalica Nieciecza - Korona Kielce	1:3 ✺
23.08.25	Korona Kielce - Motor Lublin	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Lech Poznań - Korona Kielce	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
09.07.25	Korona Kielce - Stal Rzeszów	4:4
Polish Cup
30.08.22	Stal Rzeszów - Korona Kielce	3:4 penalties

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