Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 5

Date: 17 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Rzeszowie (Rzeszow)

Referee: Malyszek J. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Stal Rzeszów		Warta Poznań

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	3.1
	2.1	3.25	3.1
	2.15	3.4	3.2
	2.13	3.64	3.24
	2.13	3.52	3.21	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.1
	2.12	3.38	3.22	Watch
	2.15	3.4	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.37)	3.39 ↑ (3.2)	3.17 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stal Rzeszów
43.6%

Draw
27.2%

Warta Poznań
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

29.2%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

28.7%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Rzeszów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Rzeszów than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Stal Rzeszów - Warta Poznań Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Stal Rzeszów will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Warta will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bakowski K. (G) 30. Diaz J. 14. Koscielny K. 46. Lyczko S. 7. Lysiak K. 44. Piotrowski B. 11. Prokic A. 22. Simcak M. 4. Synos M. 31. Thill S. 2. Warczak P.	1. Grobelny J. (G) 21. Adamski R. 2. Bartkowski J. 9. Firlej M. 7. Gaska D. 3. Kielb J. (C) 26. Michalski K. 27. Przybylko K. 5. Tkachuk Y. 4. Wojcinowicz T. 10. Zurawski M.
Substitutes
9. Bala T. 51. Gaza A. 21. Kadziolka S. 91. Oleksy P. 45. Pasko K. 27. Pena C. 43. Postupalskyi I. 12. Raciniewski J. (G) 18. Wachowiak K.	35. Jakubowski F. 15. Mackowiak M. 8. Norkowski L. 23. Pawlowski S. 34. Plesnierowicz W. 42. Przybylak L. (G) 17. Sarbinowski S. 20. Szeliga B. 77. Walus F.
Coaches
Zub M.	Jacek P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
1', Synos M. 🟨,
16', Tkachuk Y. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Prokic A. ⚽, Diaz J. (A),
28', 2 - 0, Thill S. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Przybylko K. ↓, Szeliga B. ↑,
46', Zurawski M. ↓, Walus F. ↑,
52', 3 - 0, Thill S. ⚽,
57', Gaska D. ↓, Norkowski L. ↑,
60', Thill S. 🟨,
61', Lysiak K. ↓, Kadziolka S. ↑,
61', Lyczko S. ↓, Bala T. ↑,
61', Prokic A. ↓, Postupalskyi I. ↑,
76', Synos M. ↓, Pasko K. ↑,
76', Thill S. ↓, Gaza A. ↑,
84', 4 - 0, Bala T. ⚽, Pena C. (A),

Preview

Recent matches Stal Rzeszów is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Warta is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Stal Rzeszów could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Stal Rzeszów will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stal Rzeszów
Polish Division 1
11.08.24	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Stal Rzeszów	1:3 ✺
04.08.24	Stal Rzeszów - Miedź Legnica	1:0 ✺
27.07.24	Górnik Łęczna - Stal Rzeszów	2:1 ✺
22.07.24	Stal Rzeszów - Arka Gdynia	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.24	Stal Rzeszów - Stal Mielec	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWLWL
- Warta Poznań
Polish Division 1
10.08.24	Warta Poznań - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:0 ✺
02.08.24	GKS Tychy - Warta Poznań	1:1 ✺
27.07.24	Warta Poznań - Wisła Płock	1:2 ✺
20.07.24	Termalica Nieciecza - Warta Poznań	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.07.24	Warta Poznań - Teplice	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WTLLL

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