Match Info

Division 2 - Round 18

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Stali Stalowa Wola (Stalowa Wola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Stal Stalowa Wola		Olimpia Grudziądz

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.35	3.05	Watch
	2.27	3.86	2.65	Watch
	2.07	3.3	3.17	Watch
	2.16	3.25	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.16)	3.44 ↑ (3.25)	2.93 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stal Stalowa Wola
42.5%

Draw
26.4%

Olimpia Grudziądz
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

27.5%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

26.1%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Stalowa Wola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Olimpia Grudziądz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Stalowa Wola than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Grudziądz than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Stal Stalowa Wola - Olimpia Grudziądz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
53. Stepak J. (G) 4. Furtak L. (C) 23. Getinger K. 10. Hebel M. 77. Kendzia J. 2. Kukulowicz B. 20. Niedbala J. 7. Radecki M. 19. Wolny D. 11. Zaucha P. 6. Zemlo P.	71. Sobolewski S. (G) 10. Cichon K. 5. Czajka B. 44. Frelek D. (C) 7. Kaczmarek T. 77. Kobryn R. 72. Koperski F. 69. Pawlowski M. 26. Sewerzynski O. 93. Tsyupa I. 25. Zbiciak B.
Substitutes
28. Bystrek O. 43. Fedejko I. 8. Hrnciar L. 9. Lacki D. 16. Lelek K. 33. Smylek M. (G) 18. Surzyn M. 13. Svec J. 44. Tyburczy M.	16. Fietz K. 31. Hallmann A. (G) 3. Klimczak A. . Koncewicz-Zylka P. 70. Nowacki F. 17. Siemaszko A. 42. Zablonski P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Zaucha P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
62', 2 - 0, Wolny D. ⚽,
63', Niedbala J. ↓, Hrnciar L. ↑,
63', Koperski F. ↓, Siemaszko A. ↑,
69', Getinger K. ↓, Lelek K. ↑,
69', Wolny D. ↓, Lacki D. ↑,
74', Kobryn R. ↓, Fietz K. ↑,
79', Hebel M. ↓, Surzyn M. ↑,
79', Kendzia J. ↓, Svec J. ↑,
82', 2 - 1, Kaczmarek T. ⚽,
88', Tsyupa I. ↓, Klimczak A. ↑,
89', Stepak J. 🟨,
90', 2 - 2, Pawlowski M. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Stalowa Wola won 3.

Stal Stalowa Wola is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Olimpia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Olimpia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Stal Stalowa Wola could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Stal Stalowa Wola won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Stal Stalowa Wola won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Stal Stalowa Wola
Polish Division 2
14.11.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Hutnik	2:2 ✺
08.11.25	GKS Jastrzębie - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:5 ✺
31.10.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Resovia Rzeszów	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Sokół Kleczew - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWTTW
- Olimpia Grudziądz
Polish Division 2
15.11.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - Swit Skolwin	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Hutnik - Olimpia Grudziądz	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1:0 ✺
Polish Cup
28.10.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - Śląsk Wrocław	0:1 ✺
Polish Division 2
25.10.25	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Olimpia Grudziądz	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
25.07.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:1
04.05.24	Olimpia Grudziądz - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:3
22.10.23	Stal Stalowa Wola - Olimpia Grudziądz	2:0
20.04.19	Olimpia Grudziądz - Stal Stalowa Wola	2:0
01.10.18	Stal Stalowa Wola - Olimpia Grudziądz	4:2
Polish Cup
12.08.14	Stal Stalowa Wola - Olimpia Grudziądz	2:0

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