Match Info

Date: 18 October 2022, Tuesday


	Stalybridge Celtic		Marine

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.3	1.82
	3.9	3.35	1.7
	3.85	3.4	1.81
	4	3.48	1.85
	3.75	3.5	1.83
	3.9	3.48	1.82
	3.75	3.4	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↑ (3.06)	3.42 ↑ (3.3)	1.81 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stalybridge Celtic
23.6%

Draw
26.5%

Marine
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

27.5%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

27.1%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stalybridge Celtic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stalybridge Celtic's form might have worsened.

Marine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marine's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stalybridge Celtic than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stalybridge Celtic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marine than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marine, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Stalybridge Celtic - Marine Predictions

Users Predictions: Marine will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 and 6).

Stalybridge has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Marine is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Marine could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Marine will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Marine to win the game is with odds 1.94.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stalybridge won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Stalybridge won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stalybridge Celtic
English NPL Premier Division
15.10.22	Ashton United - Stalybridge Celtic	2:1 ✺
11.10.22	Stalybridge Celtic - Marske United	2:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Stalybridge Celtic - South Shields	1:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
04.10.22	Radcliffe - Stalybridge Celtic	2:1 ✺
01.10.22	Stalybridge Celtic - Morpeth Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Marine FC
English NPL Premier Division
15.10.22	Marine - Whitby Town	2:0 ✺
11.10.22	Nantwich Town - Marine	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Marine - Radcliffe	2:1 penalties ✺
English NPL Premier Division
01.10.22	United of Manchester - Marine	1:1 ✺
27.09.22	Marine - Atherton Collieries	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
03.08.19	Stalybridge Celtic - Marine	2:1
English NPL Premier Division
19.01.19	Marine - Stalybridge Celtic	1:1
21.08.18	Stalybridge Celtic - Marine	3:2
10.10.17	Marine - Stalybridge Celtic	3:1
22.08.17	Stalybridge Celtic - Marine	0:2

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