Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 17

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday


	Stalybridge Celtic		United of Manchester

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.3	1.9
	3.1	3.2	2.02
	3.4	3.4	1.92
	4.2	3.78	1.76
	3	3.5	2.1
	3.54	3.54	1.89
	3.6	3.4	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↓ (3.58)	3.45 ↓ (3.5)	1.93 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stalybridge Celtic
26.3%

Draw
26.4%

United of Manchester
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

25.8%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

24.9%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stalybridge Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

United of Manchester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stalybridge Celtic than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for United of Manchester than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Stalybridge Celtic - United of Manchester Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stalybridge won 1.

Stalybridge is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches United of Manchester is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

United of Manchester will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Stalybridge won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Stalybridge won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stalybridge Celtic
English NPL Premier Division
22.10.22	Whitby Town - Stalybridge Celtic	0:1 ✺
18.10.22	Stalybridge Celtic - Marine	0:0 ✺
15.10.22	Ashton United - Stalybridge Celtic	2:1 ✺
11.10.22	Stalybridge Celtic - Marske United	2:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Stalybridge Celtic - South Shields	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTLLL
- FC United of Manchester
English NPL Premier Division
22.10.22	United of Manchester - Lancaster City	1:1 ✺
18.10.22	Guiseley - United of Manchester	2:1 ✺
15.10.22	Marske United - United of Manchester	0:2 ✺
11.10.22	United of Manchester - Morpeth Town	4:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	United of Manchester - Liversedge	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
22.01.22	United of Manchester - Stalybridge Celtic	2:1
25.09.21	Stalybridge Celtic - United of Manchester	5:2
05.10.19	Stalybridge Celtic - United of Manchester	2:3
English National League North
01.04.17	United of Manchester - Stalybridge Celtic	2:2
12.11.16	Stalybridge Celtic - United of Manchester	2:4
16.04.16	United of Manchester - Stalybridge Celtic	0:1
19.09.15	Stalybridge Celtic - United of Manchester	1:0

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