Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 33

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday


	Stamford		Banbury United

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.35	2.88
	2.1	3.65	2.93
	2.16	3.69	2.98	Watch
	2.1	3.3	2.8
	2.25	3.4	3.03
	3.27	3.22	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (3.29)	3.44 ↑ (3.25)	2.78 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stamford
39.7%

Draw
27%

Banbury United
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

27.7%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

27.8%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stamford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stamford's performance.

Banbury United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Banbury United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stamford than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stamford that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banbury United than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Banbury United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Stamford - Banbury United Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Stamford will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Burgess J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
58', 2 - 0, Tonge K. ⚽,
67', 3 - 0, Lobjoit L. ⚽,
77', 4 - 0, Lobjoit L. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Stamford has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Banbury is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Banbury may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Banbury has had a series of home games.

Banbury might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Stamford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Stamford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Banbury: 0.39% Stamford: 0.39%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Banbury	9	1	3	5	9:16	-7	6
22	Stamford	9	0	0	9	1:25	-24	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stamford AFC
English Southern League Central Division
11.04.26	Bury Town - Stamford	0:0 ✺
06.04.26	Stamford - Quorn	1:0 ✺
03.04.26	Halesowen Town - Stamford	3:1 ✺
28.03.26	Stamford - Bishops Stortford	1:0 ✺
24.03.26	Stratford Town - Stamford	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWLWL
- Banbury United
English Southern League Central Division
11.04.26	Banbury United - Sudbury Town	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Harborough Town - Banbury United	5:1 ✺
03.04.26	Banbury United - Royston Town	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Leiston - Banbury United	1:0 ✺
24.03.26	Kettering Town - Banbury United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
29.11.25	Banbury United - Stamford	2:0
19.04.25	Stamford - Banbury United	2:0
07.09.24	Banbury United - Stamford	1:0

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