Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 40

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Bury Town		Stamford

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.65	3.45
	1.83	4.19	3.24
	1.87	4.27	3.34	Watch
	1.85	3.6	3.25
	1.9	3.55	3.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.19)	3.85 ↑ (3.45)	3.34 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bury Town
49.1%

Draw
23.6%

Stamford
27.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.2%

26.2%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

25%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bury Town's performance.

Stamford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stamford might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bury Town than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bury Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stamford than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Bury Town - Stamford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 17).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Bury Town might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bury Town won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bury Town	13	10	1	2	23:15	8	31
22	Stamford	13	0	1	12	3:35	-32	1

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Bury Town: 4.92% Stamford: 0.37%

Last Results with these Odds

Stamford - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 32.62%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bury Town
English Southern League Central Division
06.04.26	Leiston - Bury Town	1:3 ✺
03.04.26	Bury Town - Worcester City	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Harborough Town - Bury Town	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Halesowen Town - Bury Town	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Bury Town - Redditch United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WTTLT
- Stamford AFC
English Southern League Central Division
06.04.26	Stamford - Quorn	1:0 ✺
03.04.26	Halesowen Town - Stamford	3:1 ✺
28.03.26	Stamford - Bishops Stortford	1:0 ✺
24.03.26	Stratford Town - Stamford	4:2 ✺
21.03.26	Real Bedford - Stamford	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
06.09.25	Stamford - Bury Town	0:2

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