Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 10

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Real Bedford		Barwell

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.9	4.25
	1.64	4.1	4.3
	1.28	5.38	9.10	Watch
	1.61	4.1	4.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.55)	4.37 ↑ (3.95)	5.63 ↑ (4.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Bedford
61.5%

Draw
21.7%

Barwell
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

22.9%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

21.6%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Bedford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Barwell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Bedford than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barwell than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Real Bedford - Barwell Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Jones A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 2 - 0, Allen J. ⚽,
75', 2 - 1, Dwyer A. ⚽,
84', 2 - 2, Dwyer A. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 8 and 15).

Real Bedford is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Barwell's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Barwell has had a series of home games.

In this match, Real Bedford is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Real Bedford will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Bedford
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Real Bedford - Stamford	3:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
23.09.25	Banbury United - Real Bedford	1:4 ✺
20.09.25	Worcester City - Real Bedford	1:3 ✺
09.09.25	Real Bedford - Bury Town	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Real Bedford - Redditch United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWWL
- Barwell
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Barwell - Bromsgrove Sporting	0:3 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
26.09.25	Barwell - Stourbridge	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Barwell - Bromsgrove Sporting	0:2 ✺
09.09.25	Stratford Town - Barwell	4:1 ✺
06.09.25	Barwell - Needham Market	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLLT

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