Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 42

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Stamford		Harborough Town

	1	X	2
	4.25	3.75	1.62
	4.16	3.8	1.65
	4.35	4.21	1.66	Watch
	4.33	3.6	1.62
	4.52	3.98	1.59
	4.33	3.8	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.32 ↓ (4.38)	3.86 ↓ (4.2)	1.62 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stamford
20.9%

Draw
23.4%

Harborough Town
55.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.2%

22.1%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

21.5%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stamford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Harborough Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stamford than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harborough Town than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Stamford - Harborough Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North).

Harborough is Confirmed as championsnQualified for National League North

Now, both teams are in good form.

Harborough may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Harborough is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Stamford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Stamford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
22	Stamford	14	1	1	12	4:35	-31	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stamford AFC
English Southern League Central Division
18.04.26	Royston Town - Stamford	0:3 ✺
14.04.26	Stamford - Banbury United	4:0 ✺
11.04.26	Bury Town - Stamford	0:0 ✺
06.04.26	Stamford - Quorn	1:0 ✺
03.04.26	Halesowen Town - Stamford	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWTWL
- Harborough Town
English Southern League Central Division
18.04.26	Harborough Town - Bishops Stortford	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Halesowen Town - Harborough Town	1:3 ✺
06.04.26	Harborough Town - Banbury United	5:1 ✺
03.04.26	St Ives Town - Harborough Town	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Harborough Town - Bury Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
13.01.26	Harborough Town - Stamford	2:0
04.01.25	Stamford - Harborough Town	1:2
10.08.24	Harborough Town - Stamford	0:1

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