The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Stenhousemuir 49%
Draw 27.3%
East Fife 23.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.6%
28%
30.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.9%
27.2%
29.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stenhousemuir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stenhousemuir's performance.
East Fife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and East Fife might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stenhousemuir than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stenhousemuir that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for East Fife than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that East Fife could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
0%
75%
Stenhousemuir - East Fife Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Stenhousemuir will win (votes: 1 - 25%). East Fife will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): East Fife will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Jamieson D. (G) 2. Meechan R. 4. Buchanan G. (C) 5. Jamieson N. 14. Bilham K. 24. Grant L. 21. Ewen K. 23. McGill S. 22. Whyte O. 9. Aitken M. 11. Taylor R.
21. Rollo M. (G) 23. Culbert S. 19. Munro A. 5. Easton B. (C) 11. Peggie R. 4. Millar K. 6. McManus C. 18. Healy J. 22. McKenna M. 17. Latona L. 24. Goss T.
Substitutes
17. Anderson M. 12. Cameron Z. 15. Carrick D. 6. Graham A. 10. Gray F. 34. Lyle C. (G) 7. O'Reilly E. 3. Simpson O.
7. Fairley J. 2. Halsey J. 27. Jones R. 14. Linton J. 3. Newton L. 12. Nicol G. 15. Rowe F. 8. Slattery P. 1. Thomson K. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Taylor R. ⚽, McGill S. (A),
40', 2 - 0, Taylor R. ⚽, Aitken M. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Latona L. ↓, Halsey J. ↑,
50', 3 - 0, Whyte O. ⚽, Taylor R. (A),
56', Taylor R. ↓, Cameron Z. ↑,
63', Munro A. 🟨,
66', Healy J. ↓, Rowe F. ↑,
68', Whyte O. ↓, Anderson M. ↑,
68', Bilham K. ↓, Simpson O. ↑,
71', McManus C. 🟨,
73', Easton B. ↓, Newton L. ↑,
82', Ewen K. ↓, O'Reilly E. ↑,
82', Aitken M. ↓, Carrick D. ↑,
83', Peggie R. ↓, Slattery P. ↑,
84', 4 - 0, Carrick D. ⚽, Simpson O. (A),
85', Millar K. ↓, Nicol G. ↑,
90', 5 - 0, Jamieson N. ⚽, Simpson O. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stenhousemuir won 1.
Stenhousemuir is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
East Fife has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Stenhousemuir may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Stenhousemuir is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stenhousemuir won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:22. (average 1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Stenhousemuir won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.2:1.2).
Outrights of Scottish League One for now
East Fife: 0.32%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
East Fife
9
1
5
3
7:10
-3
8
Last Results with these Odds
Stenhousemuir - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.62%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.
East Fife - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 30.33%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.