The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lincoln City 39.9%
Draw 30.7%
Stevenage Borough 29.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.1%
29%
30.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.8%
29.5%
30.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lincoln City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
30%
45%
Lincoln City - Stevenage Borough Predictions
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Stevenage will win (votes: 9 - 45%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%). Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 23.2% – 66.8%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Lincoln (votes: 1 - 20%). Stevenage (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Wickens G. (G) 2. Darikwa T. (C) 22. Hamer T. 15. Bradley S. 3. Reach A. 14. McGrandles C. 8. Bayliss T. 7. Hackett-Fairchild R. 34. Draper F. 18. House B. 17. Street R.
1. Marschall F. (G) 17. Pattenden J. 15. Goode C. 5. Piergianni C. (C) 16. Freestone L. 4. Houghton J. 18. White H. 30. Lubala B. 10. Kemp D. 20. Campbell C. 9. Ahadme G.
Substitutes
9. Collins J. 20. Obikwu J. 19. Okoronkwo F. 21. Pardington J. (G) 12. Ring E. 6. Towler R. 24. Varfolomeev I.
13. Ashby-Hammond T. (G) 3. Butler D. 26. Orford L. 44. Patterson P. 19. Reid J. 11. Roberts J. 6. Sweeney D.
Coaches
Skubala M.
Revell A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Campbell C. ↓, Roberts J. ↑,
62', Lubala B. ↓, Patterson P. ↑,
69', 1 - 0, Street R. ⚽, House B. (A),
72', Street R. ↓, Collins J. ↑,
76', Freestone L. ↓, Butler D. ↑,
76', Houghton J. ↓, Reid J. ↑,
81', Draper F. ↓, Okoronkwo F. ↑,
81', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, Towler R. ↑,
90', House B. 🟨,
90', Roberts J. 🟨,
90+1', Ahadme G. ↓, Sweeney D. ↑,
90+3', Bayliss T. ↓, Varfolomeev I. ↑,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 1.
Recent performances by Lincoln have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Stevenage is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Lincoln may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Lincoln has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Lincoln: Gallagher O.
(Foot Injury)
Jefferies D.
(Hip Injury)
Moylan J.
(Ankle Injury)
Parks C.
(Injury)
There will not play in Stevenage: Thompson L.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Stevenage: Young J.
(Hamstring Injury)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.1:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).
United-kingdom
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Wickens G. (G) 
Darikwa T. (C) 
McGrandles C. 
Hackett-Fairchild R. 
Lubala B. 
Campbell C. 
Ahadme G. 
Collins J. 
Obikwu J. 
Ring E. 
Varfolomeev I. 
Reid J. 
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