Match Info

EFL Trophy

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday

Location: SPORTA Arena (Stevenage)

Referee: Heaslip E. (Eng)


	Stevenage Borough		Leicester City

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.50	2.45	Watch
	2.55	3.40	2.25
	2.60	3.15	2.40	Watch
	2.60	3.85	2.48
	3.04	3.59	2.19	Watch
	2.55	3.55	2.45
	2.59	3.55	2.49	Watch
	2.60	3.55	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.86)	3.52 ↑ (3.43)	2.39 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stevenage Borough
35.1%

Draw
26.3%

Leicester City
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

27.1%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

26.2%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Stevenage Borough - Leicester City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Stevenage (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Barden D. (G) 2. James-Wildin L. 16. Casey K. 5. Piergianni C. (C) 14. Earley S. 25. Marcal W. 24. Smith M. 4. Houghton J. 44. Patterson P. 10. Kemp D. 18. Sanderson O.	21. Ravizzoli F. (G) 26. Coulibaly W. 32. Aluko O. 15. Souttar H. (C) 18. McFarlane C. 36. Braybrooke S. 60. Carr R. 27. Doyle K. 50. Neale T. 23. Watson T. 9. Bristric A.
Substitutes
38. Ayolie S. 27. Broggio B. 7. Taylor T. 23. Thompson L. 39. Thornett A. 19. Turhan T. 36. Woodford M. (G)	37. Alves W. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 68. de Lisle H. 51. French H. (G) 20. Howell H. 17. Riis E. 33. Thomas L.
Coaches
Revell A.	Martin R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Marcal W. ⚽, Kemp D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Aluko O. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
46', Marcal W. ↓, Broggio B. ↑,
46', Smith M. ↓, Thompson L. ↑,
59', 2 - 0, Sanderson O. ⚽, Patterson P. (A),
60', Kemp D. ↓, Taylor T. ↑,
60', Sanderson O. ↓, Turhan T. ↑,
61', Neale T. ↓, De Cordova-Reid B. ↑,
61', Bristric A. ↓, Riis E. ↑,
61', Watson T. ↓, Alves W. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Riis E. ⚽, Souttar H. (A),
70', Carr R. ↓, Howell H. ↑,
76', Houghton J. ↓, Ayolie S. ↑,

Preview

Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.

Recently, Stevenage has faced a series of away games on the road.

Leicester is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Outrights of English EFL Trophy for now

Leicester: 7.14% Stevenage: 1.28%

Last Results with these Odds

Leicester City - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.38%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stevenage Borough
English EFL Trophy
22.09.26	Walsall - Stevenage Borough	1:6 ✺
English League One
19.09.26	Leyton Orient - Stevenage Borough	1:0 ✺
10.09.26	Stevenage Borough - Luton Town	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Barnsley - Stevenage Borough	1:5 ✺
01.09.26	Peterborough United - Stevenage Borough	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLWWT
- Leicester City
English EFL Trophy
22.09.26	Leicester City - Fulham U21	6:1 ✺
English League One
19.09.26	Barnsley - Leicester City	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Stockport County - Leicester City	3:4 ✺
05.09.26	Leicester City - Oxford United	0:4 ✺
01.09.26	Leicester City - Plymouth Argyle	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTWLW

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