Match Info

League One - Round 4

Date: 1 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: King Power Stadium (Leicester)

Referee: Wager H. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Leicester City		Plymouth Argyle

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.75	3.60
	1.93	3.70	3.50
	1.95	3.65	3.60
	1.96	3.99	3.76
	1.94	3.81	3.51	Watch
	1.89	3.90	3.70
	1.88	3.82	3.65	Watch
	1.94	3.70	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.91)	3.79 ↑ (3.6)	3.62 ↓ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leicester City
49.1%

Draw
24.9%

Plymouth Argyle
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

26.1%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

26.6%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Leicester City have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Leicester City - Plymouth Argyle Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Leicester City will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stolarczyk J. (G) 2. Joseph J. 15. Souttar H. (C) 33. Thomas L. 18. McFarlane C. 20. Howell H. 36. Braybrooke S. 25. Page L. 37. Alves W. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 9. Bristric A.	1. Cooper M. (G) 45. Harding W. (C) 15. Mitchell A. 5. Pleguezuelo J. 22. Hartridge A. 10. Amaechi X. 19. Bakinson T. 7. White H. 11. Curtis R. 9. Evans W. 23. Ibrahim B.
Substitutes
32. Aluko O. 7. Burns W. 60. Carr R. 11. Cullen L. 24. Kangasniemi I. 29. McCarthy A. (G) 23. Watson T.	8. Edwards J. 14. Irow O. 27. Pepple A. 2. Ross M. 29. Sorinola M. 21. Storer J. (G) 17. Watts C.
Coaches
Martin R.	Cleverley T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', Stolarczyk J. ↓, McCarthy A. ↑,
38', Amaechi X. 🟨,
43', Joseph J. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 0, Alves W. ⚽, Page L. (A),
45+5', 2 - 0, Howell H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Amaechi X. ↓, Irow O. ↑,
46', Curtis R. ↓, Sorinola M. ↑,
52', Bristric A. ↓, Cullen L. ↑,
52', Howell H. ↓, Burns W. ↑,
61', Pleguezuelo J. ↓, Pepple A. ↑,
70', Ibrahim B. ↓, Watts C. ↑,
81', Joseph J. ↓, Aluko O. ↑,
81', Alves W. ↓, Watson T. ↑,
87', Souttar H. 🟨,
90', Braybrooke S. 🟨,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Plymouth has had a series of home games.

Leicester is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Leicester: Nelson B. (Inactive)

There will not play in Plymouth: Baidoo M. (Injury) Boateng M. (Inactive) Issaka F. (Inactive) MacKenzie J. (Inactive) Oseni O. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Leicester: Okoli C. (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Leicester won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Leicester won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Plymouth	10	6	1	3	18:12	6	19
17	Leicester	8	2	3	3	10:14	-4	9

Last Results with these Odds

Plymouth Argyle - the odds 3.78 are the expected chance of winning is 24.8%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leicester City
English League One
29.08.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Leicester City	0:0 ✺
English League Cup
25.08.26	Ipswich Town - Leicester City	3:1 ✺
English League One
22.08.26	Leicester City - Burton Albion	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Notts County - Leicester City	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Leicester City - Northampton Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLLTW
- Plymouth Argyle
English League One
29.08.26	Plymouth Argyle - Bradford City	2:0 ✺
English League Cup
25.08.26	Plymouth Argyle - Coventry City	2:4 ✺
English League One
22.08.26	Wycombe Wanderers - Plymouth Argyle	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Plymouth Argyle - Stockport County	1:3 ✺
English League Cup
10.08.26	Plymouth Argyle - Exeter City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
12.04.24	Plymouth Argyle - Leicester City	1:0
09.12.23	Leicester City - Plymouth Argyle	4:0

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