Match Info

League One - Round 6

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Edgeley Park (Stockport)

Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)


	Stockport County		Leicester City

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.9	3.8
	1.78	3.90	3.90
	1.82	3.6	3.95
	1.9	4.21	4.03
	1.89	3.93	3.57	Watch
	1.76	4.1	3.95
	1.8	3.92	3.9	Watch
	1.85	3.75	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.1)	3.91 ↑ (3.68)	3.86 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stockport County
51.6%

Draw
24%

Leicester City
24.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.4%

25.4%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

25.3%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stockport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stockport County's performance.

Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leicester City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stockport County that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leicester City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Stockport County - Leicester City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Stockport (1.85) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Stockport County will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Whatmuff O. (G) 24. Gordon K. 6. O'Connell E. 5. Pye E. 15. Glover R. 4. Bate L. 10. Norwood O. (C) 23. Osborn B. 7. Diamond J. 19. Wootton K. 16. Wood H.	29. McCarthy A. (G) 2. Joseph J. 16. O'Hora W. 15. Souttar H. (C) 33. Thomas L. 25. Page L. 11. Cullen L. 36. Braybrooke S. 6. Lundstram J. 37. Alves W. 17. Riis E.
Substitutes
20. Adigun J. 9. Andresson B. 2. Dacres-Cogley J. 30. Ennis E. 18. Fiorini L. 25. Jobe M. 22. Mandron M.	32. Aluko O. 7. Burns W. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 20. Howell H. 24. Kangasniemi I. 21. Ravizzoli F. (G) 23. Watson T.
Coaches
McNulty J.	Martin R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Cullen L. ⚽, Page L. (A),
22', 1 - 1, Diamond J. ⚽, Bate L. (A),
30', 1 - 2, Riis E. ⚽,
36', Pye E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
48', 1 - 3, Riis E. ⚽, Alves W. (A),
50', Page L. 🟨,
52', 1 - 4, Lundstram J. ⚽, Page L. (A),
57', 2 - 4, Norwood O. ⚽,
61', 3 - 4, Wootton K. ⚽,
63', Gordon K. 🟨,
71', Braybrooke S. ↓, De Cordova-Reid B. ↑,
71', Wood H. ↓, Mandron M. ↑,
71', Bate L. ↓, Adigun J. ↑,
76', Riis E. ↓, Watson T. ↑,
79', Glover R. ↓, Ennis E. ↑,
79', O'Connell E. ↓, Jobe M. ↑,
86', Alves W. ↓, Kangasniemi I. ↑,
86', Cullen L. ↓, Burns W. ↑,
86', O'Hora W. ↓, Aluko O. ↑,
87', Diamond J. ↓, Andresson B. ↑,

Preview

Recent performances by Stockport have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Leicester has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Stockport could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Stockport: Sidibeh A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Leicester: Chaplin C. (Injury) Nelson B. (Inactive) Okoli C. (Inactive) Stolarczyk J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Stockport: Hills B. (Knee Injury) Rydel R. (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Stockport won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Including home match between the teams, Stockport won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Stockport County	9	5	1	3	20:11	9	16
17	Leicester	8	2	3	3	10:14	-4	9

Outrights of English League One for now

Stockport County: 13.52% Leicester: 7.7%

Last Results with these Odds

Stockport County - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.44%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stockport County
English League One
05.09.26	Wigan Athletic - Stockport County	0:4 ✺
02.09.26	Luton Town - Stockport County	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Stockport County - Wycombe Wanderers	5:1 ✺
22.08.26	Stockport County - Blackpool	1:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
18.08.26	Stockport County - Everton U21	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWLW
- Leicester City
English League One
05.09.26	Leicester City - Oxford United	0:4 ✺
01.09.26	Leicester City - Plymouth Argyle	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Leicester City	0:0 ✺
English League Cup
25.08.26	Ipswich Town - Leicester City	3:1 ✺
English League One
22.08.26	Leicester City - Burton Albion	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
23.08.22	Stockport County - Leicester City	0:1 penalties

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