Match Info

EFL Trophy - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Lamex Stadium (Stevenage)

Referee: Chilowicz A. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Stevenage Borough		Walsall

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.25	3.1	Watch
	2.22	3.25	2.98	Watch
	2.25	3.3	3.02
	1.99	3.19	3.95	Watch
	2.2	3	2.9
	2.2	3.18	3.03	Watch
	2.22	3.25	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.91)	3.2 ↓ (3.62)	3.14 ↓ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stevenage Borough
42.1%

Draw
28.7%

Walsall
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

25.5%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

26.2%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stevenage Borough's form might have worsened.

Walsall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stevenage Borough, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Stevenage Borough - Walsall Predictions

Users Predictions: Stevenage Borough will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stevenage Borough will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ashby-Hammond T. (G) 5. Piergianni C. (C) 15. Goode C. 17. Pattenden J. 16. Freestone L. 20. Campbell C. 8. Phillips D. 23. Thompson L. 44. Patterson P. 33. Doherty R. 30. Lubala B.	12. Hornby S. (G) 33. Browne R. 14. Comley B. 20. Cox D. 31. Richards R. 2. Barrett C. 18. Harper V. 59. Straw S. 17. Clarke C. 37. Adomah A. (C) 7. Roofe K.
Substitutes
9. Ahadme G. 2. James-Wildin L. 24. Malcolm J. 1. Marschall F. (G) 19. Reid J. 6. Sweeney D. 22. Young J.	32. Hollman J. 22. Jellis J. 21. Kilroy J. (G) 16. Maher R. 56. McLloyd O. 25. Okeke J. 28. Warrington L.
Coaches
Revell A.	Sadler M. J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Harper V. ↓, Okeke J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Clarke C. ↓, Jellis J. ↑,
46', Campbell C. ↓, Malcolm J. ↑,
57', 1 - 0, Piergianni C. ⚽, Patterson P. (A),
62', Comley B. ↓, Warrington L. ↑,
62', Roofe K. ↓, Hollman J. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Richards R. ⚽,
71', Lubala B. ↓, Young J. ↑,
72', 1 - 2, Richards R. ⚽,
74', Barrett C. ↓, Maher R. ↑,
76', Freestone L. 🟨,
77', Thompson L. ↓, Ahadme G. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 2.

In recent matches, Stevenage has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Walsall is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Walsall may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Stevenage is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Stevenage won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 2.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stevenage Borough
English League One
29.11.25	Wigan Athletic - Stevenage Borough	0:0 ✺
25.11.25	Peterborough United - Stevenage Borough	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Stevenage Borough - Doncaster Rovers	0:0 ✺
06.11.25	Reading - Stevenage Borough	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Stevenage Borough - Chesterfield	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWTLL
- Walsall FC
English League Two
29.11.25	Walsall - Bromley	3:1 ✺
22.11.25	Harrogate Town - Walsall	0:2 ✺
15.11.25	Walsall - Colchester United	0:2 ✺
08.11.25	Newport County - Walsall	2:4 ✺
English FA Cup
02.11.25	Eastleigh - Walsall	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
11.03.23	Stevenage Borough - Walsall	3:1
13.08.22	Walsall - Stevenage Borough	1:1
08.01.22	Stevenage Borough - Walsall	3:1
28.08.21	Walsall - Stevenage Borough	1:0
20.02.21	Stevenage Borough - Walsall	1:1
02.12.20	Walsall - Stevenage Borough	1:1
23.11.19	Walsall - Stevenage Borough	0:0

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