Match Info

League One - Round 15

Date: 6 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Select Car Leasing Stadium (Reading)

Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)

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	Reading		Stevenage Borough

	1	X	2
	2.82	2.85	2.57	Watch
	2.88	2.98	2.58	Watch
	2.98	3.01	2.7
	2.65	3.10	2.60	Watch
	2.97	2.99	2.7	Watch
	2.65	3.25	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.65)	3.03 ↓ (3.1)	2.62 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reading
33.2%

Draw
31%

Stevenage Borough
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

29.7%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

29.9%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	25%	56.2%

Reading - Stevenage Borough Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Stevenage will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 32% – 80.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Reading (votes: 1 - 25%). Stevenage (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Reading (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Reading (votes: 2 - 40%). Stevenage (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pereira J. (G) 2. Abrefa K. 3. Dorsett A. J. R. 33. Williams D. 15. O'Connor P. 29. Doyle K. 10. Wing L. (C) 8. Savage C. 32. Lane P. 9. Ehibhatiomhan K. 11. Kyerewaa D.	1. Marschall F. (G) 2. James-Wildin L. 15. Goode C. 5. Piergianni C. (C) 16. Freestone L. 4. Houghton J. 18. White H. 11. Roberts J. 10. Kemp D. 20. Campbell C. 9. Ahadme G.
Substitutes
19. Garcia A. 20. O'Mahony M. 30. Ritchie M. 25. Stevens J. (G) 22. Stickland M. 21. Williams 17. Yiadom A.	13. Ashby-Hammond T. (G) 3. Butler D. 26. Orford L. 17. Pattenden J. 44. Patterson P. 8. Phillips D. 19. Reid J.
Coaches
Richardson L.	Revell A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Savage C. ⚽, Kyerewaa D. (A),
10', Dorsett A. J. R. 🟨,
29', Freestone L. 🟨,
45+1', Kyerewaa D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Houghton J. 🟨,
62', Freestone L. ↓, Butler D. ↑,
62', Campbell C. ↓, Patterson P. ↑,
62', Ahadme G. ↓, Reid J. ↑,
63', Lane P. ↓, Ritchie M. ↑,
70', Ritchie M. 🟨,
74', Roberts J. ↓, Orford L. ↑,
75', Houghton J. ↓, Phillips D. ↑,
79', Doyle K. ↓, O'Mahony M. ↑,
79', Kyerewaa D. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
86', Phillips D. 🟨,
88', White H. 🟨,
90', Ehibhatiomhan K. ↓, Yiadom A. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reading won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Stevenage has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Stevenage: Simpson T. (Inactive) Thompson L. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Reading: Fraser L. (Inactive) Lane P. (Injury) Marriott J. (Inactive) O'Connor P. (Injury) Ritchie M. (Inactive)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Reading won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.1:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Reading won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Reading - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.79%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Stevenage Borough - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.46%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reading
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Reading - Carlisle United	2:3 ET ✺
English League One
25.10.25	Reading - Doncaster Rovers	1:1 ✺
21.10.25	Reading - Northampton Town	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Cardiff City - Reading	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	Exeter City - Reading	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTWLT
- Stevenage Borough
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Stevenage Borough - Chesterfield	0:1 ✺
English League One
25.10.25	Stevenage Borough - Bradford City	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
21.10.25	Stevenage Borough - Crystal Palace U21	5:2 ✺
English League One
18.10.25	Lincoln City - Stevenage Borough	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.10.25	Stevenage Borough - Bromley	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
15.03.25	Reading - Stevenage Borough	1:1
09.11.24	Stevenage Borough - Reading	1:1
06.02.24	Stevenage Borough - Reading	0:1
19.08.23	Reading - Stevenage Borough	2:0
English League Cup
09.08.22	Reading - Stevenage Borough	1:2
English FA Cup
16.01.18	Reading - Stevenage Borough	3:0
06.01.18	Stevenage Borough - Reading	0:0

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