Match Info

League One - Round 18

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: The Brick Community Stadium (Wigan)

Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)


	Wigan Athletic		Stevenage Borough

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.95	3.5
	2.22	2.98	3.45
	2.25	3.08	3.69
	2.54	2.98	2.93	Watch
	2.27	2.98	3.43	Watch
	2.2	3	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.54)	3 ↑ (2.98)	3.43 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wigan Athletic
41.3%

Draw
31.3%

Stevenage Borough
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

31.3%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

30.6%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wigan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	33.3%	11.1%

Wigan Athletic - Stevenage Borough Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Wigan will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Stevenage will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wigan: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Wigan (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tickle S. (G) 4. Aimson W. 15. Kerr J. (C) 3. Fox M. 6. Weir J. 7. Murray F. 8. Wright C. 35. Francois T. 21. Borges Rodrigues R. 9. Saydee C. 11. Costelloe D.	1. Marschall F. (G) 2. James-Wildin L. (C) 15. Goode C. 6. Sweeney D. 16. Freestone L. 14. Earley S. 8. Phillips D. 18. White H. 10. Kemp D. 9. Ahadme G. 19. Reid J.
Substitutes
43. Bettoni H. 23. Carragher J. 31. Cooper O. 20. McManaman C. 10. Mullin P. 30. Savin T. (G) 17. Smith M.	13. Ashby-Hammond T. (G) 20. Campbell C. 30. Lubala B. 17. Pattenden J. 44. Patterson P. 5. Piergianni C. 23. Thompson L.
Coaches
Lowe R.	Revell A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
69', Ahadme G. ↓, Lubala B. ↑,
69', White H. ↓, Thompson L. ↑,
76', Francois T. ↓, Smith M. ↑,
76', Costelloe D. ↓, Bettoni H. ↑,
84', Freestone L. 🟨,
90', Earley S. ↓, Pattenden J. ↑,
90', Reid J. ↓, Campbell C. ↑,
90+1', Saydee C. ↓, Mullin P. ↑,
90+1', Weir J. ↓, Cooper O. ↑,
90+7', Kemp D. ↓, Patterson P. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Wigan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Wigan has had a series of away games.

Wigan is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Wigan: Adeeko B. (Inactive) Trevitt R. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Stevenage: Simpson T. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Wigan: Hungbo J. (Injury) Mabaya I. (Achilles Tendon Injury) McHugh H. (Inactive) Murray F. (Injury) Rogers J. (Injury) Sze C. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Stevenage: Houghton J. (Injury) Reid J. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Wigan won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Wigan won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Wigan Athletic - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.77%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wigan Athletic
English League One
22.11.25	AFC Wimbledon - Wigan Athletic	1:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
11.11.25	Stockport County - Wigan Athletic	2:1 penalties ✺
English League One
08.11.25	Exeter City - Wigan Athletic	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Wigan Athletic - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:1 penalties ✺
English League One
25.10.25	Mansfield Town - Wigan Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLTWT
- Stevenage Borough
English League One
25.11.25	Peterborough United - Stevenage Borough	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Stevenage Borough - Doncaster Rovers	0:0 ✺
06.11.25	Reading - Stevenage Borough	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Stevenage Borough - Chesterfield	0:1 ✺
English League One
25.10.25	Stevenage Borough - Bradford City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
18.01.25	Stevenage Borough - Wigan Athletic	1:2
24.09.24	Wigan Athletic - Stevenage Borough	0:0
27.01.24	Wigan Athletic - Stevenage Borough	2:3
07.10.23	Stevenage Borough - Wigan Athletic	1:0

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