Match Info

SCOTLAND: League One - Round 32

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday


	Stirling Albion		Alloa Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.6	2.45
	2.45	3.3	2.45
	2.6	3.4	2.5
	2.66	3.35	2.58
	2.66	3.33	2.58
	2.5	3.4	2.45
	2.53	3.5	2.48	Watch
	2.48	3.45	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.77)	3.42 ↓ (3.6)	2.5 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stirling Albion
36.2%

Draw
26.9%

Alloa Athletic
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

25.4%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

24.3%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stirling Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Alloa Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stirling Albion than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alloa Athletic than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alloa Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stirling Albion - Alloa Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Currie B. (G) 2. McGeachie R. 5. McGregor J. 4. McLean P. 3. Clark C. 10. Leitch J. 14. McPake J. 19. Offord K. 24. Milne L. 30. Crane C. 25. Hilson D.	1. Morrison P. (G) 2. Taggart S. 6. Neill M. 23. Devine D. 30. Sutherland E. 14. Virtanen M. 8. Roberts K. 26. Coulson Q. 11. Steven T. 18. Sammon C. 28. Wales B.
Substitutes
7. Allan-Molotnikov R. 12. Banner K. 9. Carrick D. 21. Cooper J. 6. Cummins A. 18. Petrie J. 20. Pincombe R. 22. Spence G. 27. Weir M. (G)	19. Buchanan S. 7. Cawley K. 9. Donnelly L. 4. Hetherington S. 15. McKay D. 20. O'Donnell C. 41. Ogayi T. P. (G) 25. Robertson J. 16. Roy A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
5', 0 - 1, Sammon C. ⚽, Wales B. (A),
11', Devine D. ↓, McKay D. ↑,
22', 0 - 2, Wales B. ⚽,
45', 0 - 3, Sutherland E. ⚽, Coulson Q. (A),
45+4', McLean P. 🟨,
45+4', McKay D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', McGeachie R. ↓, Cummins A. ↑,
46', Milne L. ↓, Cooper J. ↑,
46', Hilson D. ↓, Spence G. ↑,
64', 1 - 3, Spence G. ⚽,
68', Crane C. ↓, Allan-Molotnikov R. ↑,
70', 1 - 4, Roberts K. ⚽, Wales B. (A),
73', 1 - 5, Steven T. ⚽, Sutherland E. (A),
74', Coulson Q. ↓, Hetherington S. ↑,
74', Sammon C. ↓, Buchanan S. ↑,
76', Sutherland E. 🟨,
77', Leitch J. ↓, Banner K. ↑,
78', Sutherland E. ↓, Robertson J. ↑,
78', Virtanen M. ↓, O'Donnell C. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stirling won 2.

Stirling is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Alloa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Stirling won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 9-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Stirling won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stirling Albion
Scottish League One
30.03.24	Cove Rangers - Stirling Albion	4:2 ✺
23.03.24	Stirling Albion - Montrose	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Hamilton Academical - Stirling Albion	3:0 ✺
09.03.24	Stirling Albion - Falkirk	1:2 ✺
02.03.24	Queen of the South - Stirling Albion	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLLT
- Alloa Athletic
Scottish League One
30.03.24	Alloa Athletic - Annan Athletic	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	Alloa Athletic - Queen of the South	0:2 ✺
19.03.24	Kelty Hearts - Alloa Athletic	2:1 ✺
16.03.24	Edinburgh City - Alloa Athletic	2:5 ✺
09.03.24	Alloa Athletic - Kelty Hearts	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
10.02.24	Alloa Athletic - Stirling Albion	1:0
04.11.23	Stirling Albion - Alloa Athletic	0:2
12.08.23	Alloa Athletic - Stirling Albion	0:1
Scottish League Cup
18.07.23	Alloa Athletic - Stirling Albion	1:2
Club Friendly
28.06.22	Alloa Athletic - Stirling Albion	4:1
Scottish League Cup
23.07.19	Alloa Athletic - Stirling Albion	2:1
Scottish Challenge Cup
14.08.18	Alloa Athletic - Stirling Albion	3:1

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