Match Info

League One - Round 20

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: New Central Park (Kelty)


	Kelty Hearts		Alloa Athletic

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.4	1.73
	3.95	3.45	1.82
	4.09	3.4	1.88	Watch
	4	3.3	1.85
	4.47	3.51	1.78	Watch
	4	3.6	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↓ (4.37)	3.44 ↓ (3.54)	1.8 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kelty Hearts
22.2%

Draw
26.7%

Alloa Athletic
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

26.2%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

25.6%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kelty Hearts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Alloa Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kelty Hearts than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alloa Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Kelty Hearts - Alloa Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: Alloa Athletic will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alloa Athletic will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
46. Gourlay K. (G) 8. Arnott A. 35. Brydon J. 15. Clay C. 9. Johnston C. 23. Masson C. 17. McCarvel L. 7. Moore L. 10. Murray I. 3. Paterson B. 2. Thomas M.	31. McFarlane L. (G) 28. Adamson C. 6. Dewar C. 24. Foster O. 17. Gallagher C. 4. Hetherington S. 20. O'Donnell C. 8. Roberts K. 27. Stewart L. 2. Taggart S.
Substitutes
1. Armour C. (G) 14. Graham J. 30. Leitch G. 22. McHale K. 29. Snoddy J. 18. Winiarski A. 27. Wyllie J. 31. Young G.	19. Buchanan S. 29. Burnside C. 7. Clarke A. 9. Donnelly L. 15. McKay D. 1. Ogayi T. (G) 10. Rankin L. 18. Sammon C. 12. Scougall S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Brydon J. 🟨,
13', Hetherington S. 🟨,
42', Clay C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Moore L. ↓, Graham J. ↑,
55', 0 - 1, Adamson C. ⚽,
72', Stewart L. 🟨,
74', Roberts K. ↓, Clarke A. ↑,
74', Burnside C. ↓, Gentles J. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Arnott A. ⚽,
84', Graham J. 🟨,
85', Gallagher C. ↓, Buchanan S. ↑,
87', Thomas M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kelty Hearts won 1.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Recently, Alloa has had a series of home games.

In this match, Alloa is considered a favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Kelty Hearts won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 9:24. (average 0.6:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Kelty Hearts won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).

Outrights of Scottish League One for now

Kelty Hearts: 5.2% Alloa: 0.37%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Alloa	9	2	3	4	9:10	-1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kelty Hearts
Scottish League One
27.12.25	East Fife - Kelty Hearts	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Kelty Hearts - Cove Rangers	2:5 ✺
13.12.25	Peterhead - Kelty Hearts	3:2 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
09.12.25	Arbroath - Kelty Hearts	3:2 ✺
Scottish League One
06.12.25	Kelty Hearts - Montrose	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLLLL
- Alloa Athletic
Scottish League One
27.12.25	Alloa Athletic - Stenhousemuir	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Hamilton Academical - Alloa Athletic	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Alloa Athletic - Queen of the South	0:2 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
09.12.25	Alloa Athletic - Airdrieonians	2:3 ✺
Scottish League One
06.12.25	Alloa Athletic - Peterhead	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
01.11.25	Alloa Athletic - Kelty Hearts	3:0
07.10.25	Kelty Hearts - Alloa Athletic	0:2
03.05.25	Kelty Hearts - Alloa Athletic	2:1
15.02.25	Alloa Athletic - Kelty Hearts	2:0
07.12.24	Kelty Hearts - Alloa Athletic	0:2
21.09.24	Alloa Athletic - Kelty Hearts	1:0
19.03.24	Kelty Hearts - Alloa Athletic	2:1

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