Match Info

Challenge Cup - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Forthbank Stadium (Stirling)


	Stirling Albion		Greenock Morton

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.5	1.4
	5.9	4.45	1.41
	5.78	4.5	1.45	Watch
	6	4	1.4
	6.43	4.45	1.39
	5.75	4.5	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.94 ↓ (6.65)	4.4 ↓ (4.88)	1.41 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stirling Albion
15.2%

Draw
20.6%

Greenock Morton
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.9%

18.9%

67.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3%

18.1%

70.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stirling Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Greenock Morton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stirling Albion than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Greenock Morton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stirling Albion - Greenock Morton Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Greenock (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Greenock (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Greenock (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Shaw N. (Penalty Awarded),
33', 1 - 1, McNab R. ⚽, McLean R. (A),
34', 1 - 2, Robertson K. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 2, McLean R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, McLean R. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Moffat O. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Cunningham R. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Wilson I. (Penalty Awarded),
3, McNab R. (Penalty Awarded),
3, MacPherson C. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Banner K. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Garrity M. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Carse M. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Ballantyne C. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Recent form of Stirling has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Greenock is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Stirling may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Greenock is the clear favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Stirling won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:12. (average 0.8:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Stirling won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stirling Albion
Scottish League Two
06.12.25	Stranraer - Stirling Albion	3:2 ✺
Scottish Cup
29.11.25	Elgin City - Stirling Albion	4:2 ET ✺
Scottish League Two
22.11.25	Stirling Albion - Elgin City	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Stirling Albion - Forfar Athletic	0:4 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
11.11.25	Stirling Albion - Peterhead	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLTLW
- Greenock Morton
Scottish Football Championship
05.12.25	Greenock Morton - Queens Park	2:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
29.11.25	Peterhead - Greenock Morton	2:3 penalties ✺
Scottish Football Championship
22.11.25	Dunfermline Athletic - Greenock Morton	1:0 ✺
15.11.25	Ross County - Greenock Morton	0:3 ✺
08.11.25	Greenock Morton - Arbroath	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
18.04.15	Stirling Albion - Greenock Morton	0:2
03.03.15	Greenock Morton - Stirling Albion	4:0
27.12.14	Stirling Albion - Greenock Morton	3:4
11.10.14	Greenock Morton - Stirling Albion	2:0

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