Match Info

Championship - Round 32

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: East End Park (Dunfermline)

Referee: Steven C. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Pars TV Arabic
United-kingdom	Grenock Morton


	Dunfermline Athletic		Greenock Morton

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.2	4.2	Watch
	1.9	3.35	3.9	Watch
	1.88	3.43	4.62
	1.88	3.42	4.19	Watch
	1.85	3.25	4
	1.89	3.37	4.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.85)	3.34 ↓ (3.48)	4.22 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunfermline Athletic
50%

Draw
27.9%

Greenock Morton
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

26.8%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

25.3%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunfermline Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Greenock Morton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunfermline Athletic than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Dunfermline Athletic - Greenock Morton Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dunfermline (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Dunfermline Athletic will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Oxborough A. (G) 2. Chilokoa-Mullen J. (C) 18. Abdulai N. 3. Ngwenya K. 10. Todd M. 14. Amade A. 8. Gilmour C. 47. Fraser R. 33. Cooper J. 20. Kane Ch. 26. Tod A.	31. Johnson M. (G) 20. Comrie A. 6. Moore K. 23. Longridge J. (C) 3. Delaney Z. 7. Moffat O. 8. Blues C. 22. Shaw N. 27. Wilson I. 18. Garrity M. 9. Main C.
Substitutes
4. Benedictus K. 22. Bray K. 34. Fyfe L. 5. Hamilton C. 11. Kearney S. 28. McLeod E. 35. Oakley-Boothe T. 40. Terrell B. (G) 31. Tod J.	2. Ballantyne C. 11. Crawford A. 26. Lopata-White R. 24. Lyall A. 28. Murphy L. 29. O'Halloran M. 25. Owens F. 1. Storer J. (G) 12. Taylor K.
Coaches
Lennon N.	Murray I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Blues C. ⚽,
45+1', Moore K. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', 1 - 1, Tod A. ⚽, Todd M. (A),
52', 2 - 1, Ngwenya K. ⚽, Kane Ch. (A),
56', Moore K. ↓, Lopata-White R. ↑,
66', 3 - 1, Todd M. ⚽,
66', Kane Ch. ↓, Kearney S. ↑,
70', Shaw N. ↓, O'Halloran M. ↑,
70', Garrity M. ↓, Lyall A. ↑,
78', Amade A. ↓, Oakley-Boothe T. ↑,
79', Tod A. ↓, Fyfe L. ↑,
80', Moffat O. ↓, Crawford A. ↑,
80', Comrie A. ↓, Ballantyne C. ↑,
86', Cooper J. ↓, Hamilton C. ↑,
86', Todd M. ↓, Bray K. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dunfermline won 2.

Dunfermline is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Greenock's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Dunfermline may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Dunfermline has had a series of home games.

In this match, Dunfermline is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dunfermline won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:31. (average 0.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Dunfermline won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.1:1.4).

Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now

Dunfermline: 8.83% Morton: 0.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Dunfermline	8	3	4	1	7:5	2	13
9	Morton	10	1	1	8	7:18	-11	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dunfermline Athletic
Scottish Football Championship
21.03.26	Ross County - Dunfermline Athletic	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Raith Rovers	3:0 ✺
Scottish Cup
07.03.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Aberdeen	3:0 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
03.03.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Ross County	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Queens Park	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 TWWWW
- Greenock Morton
Scottish Football Championship
28.03.26	Greenock Morton - Arbroath	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Ayr United - Greenock Morton	0:1 ✺
13.03.26	Greenock Morton - Partick Thistle	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Greenock Morton - St. Johnstone	0:2 ✺
28.02.26	Airdrieonians - Greenock Morton	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
17.02.26	Greenock Morton - Dunfermline Athletic	2:0
22.11.25	Dunfermline Athletic - Greenock Morton	1:0
02.08.25	Greenock Morton - Dunfermline Athletic	0:0
02.05.25	Greenock Morton - Dunfermline Athletic	2:0
01.03.25	Dunfermline Athletic - Greenock Morton	2:1
21.12.24	Greenock Morton - Dunfermline Athletic	2:0
19.10.24	Dunfermline Athletic - Greenock Morton	0:0

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