Match Info

League Two - Round 5

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Borough Briggs (Elgin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Elgin City		Stirling Albion

	1	X	2
	1.70	3.60	4.10
	1.77	3.50	3.70
	1.88	3.35	3.35
	1.80	4.28	3.82
	1.89	3.68	3.49	Watch
	1.75	4.20	3.50
	1.77	3.74	4.25
	1.78	3.70	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.82)	3.76 ↑ (3.55)	3.75 ↓ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elgin City
51.1%

Draw
24.4%

Stirling Albion
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

25.7%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

25.1%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elgin City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Stirling Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elgin City than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stirling Albion than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Elgin City - Stirling Albion Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stirling (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Stirling (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Stirling (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Stirling (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ritchie T. (G) 5. Girvan K. 2. Neill M. 6. Murray J. 22. MacIver J. 10. Gallagher M. 7. Dingwall R. (C) 26. Booth L. 77. Scullion L. 11. Colloty O. 9. Hester K.	1. McNeil A. (G) 24. Ali G. 5. McNab R. 23. Waugh K. 16. Denham S. 6. Banner K. 22. Hutchinson B. 17. Fyfe L. 25. Dobbie D. 14. Mullin J. (C) 9. McLean R.
Substitutes
25. Brown C. 12. Cairns O. 18. Cummings A. 23. Grant M. 14. Machado M. 24. Mackay L. 28. McLean S. 27. Morrison J. (G) 17. Willox K.	29. Allan J. 26. Cameron Z. 31. Duffy R. (G) 15. Laird A. 20. Raine R. 10. Russell M. 2. Thomas M. 11. Wright H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Girvan K. ⚽, Colloty O. (A),
39', 2 - 0, Gallagher M. ⚽, Scullion L. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', Banner K. ↓, Allan J. ↑,
60', 3 - 0, Colloty O. ⚽, MacIver J. (A),
65', Booth L. ↓, Grant M. ↑,
65', Scullion L. ↓, Mackay L. ↑,
65', Fyfe L. ↓, Wright H. ↑,
66', McNab R. ↓, Laird A. ↑,
66', McLean R. ↓, Cameron Z. ↑,
75', Colloty O. ↓, Brown C. ↑,
78', 4 - 0, Brown C. ⚽, Hester K. (A),
80', Gallagher M. ↓, Cummings A. ↑,
80', Hester K. ↓, McLean S. ↑,
84', Mullin J. ↓, Raine R. ↑,
89', Denham S. 🟨,
90+3', Grant M. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elgin won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Elgin is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Elgin won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:28. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Elgin won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 1.6:1.6).

Outrights of Scottish League Two for now

Elgin City: 11.71% Stirling: 4.86%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Elgin City	9	4	2	3	25:16	9	14
10	Stirling	9	2	2	5	11:22	-11	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elgin City
Scottish Challenge Cup
25.08.26	Clachnacuddin - Elgin City	0:2 ✺
Scottish League Two
22.08.26	Spartans - Elgin City	3:3 ✺
15.08.26	Elgin City - Kelty Hearts	4:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
11.08.26	Elgin City - Ross County	1:2 ✺
Scottish League Two
08.08.26	Elgin City - Forfar Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTWLT
- Stirling Albion
Scottish Challenge Cup
25.08.26	Airdrieonians - Stirling Albion	1:3 ✺
Scottish League Two
22.08.26	Stirling Albion - Stranraer	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Forfar Athletic - Stirling Albion	3:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
11.08.26	Stirling Albion - Cove Rangers	4:2 ✺
Scottish League Two
08.08.26	Kelty Hearts - Stirling Albion	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
18.04.26	Stirling Albion - Elgin City	2:2
21.02.26	Elgin City - Stirling Albion	1:0
Scottish Cup
29.11.25	Elgin City - Stirling Albion	4:2 ET
Scottish League Two
22.11.25	Stirling Albion - Elgin City	1:1
13.09.25	Elgin City - Stirling Albion	3:0
05.04.25	Elgin City - Stirling Albion	0:2
08.02.25	Stirling Albion - Elgin City	3:1

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