Match Info

Scottish Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Balmoor (Peterhead)


	Peterhead		Greenock Morton

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.6	1.75
	3.8	3.65	1.85
	4.04	3.67	1.9
	3.88	3.64	1.85
	4	3.5	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↑ (3.3)	3.61 ↑ (3.35)	1.82 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peterhead
23.6%

Draw
25.6%

Greenock Morton
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

27.3%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

26.8%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peterhead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Greenock Morton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Greenock Morton's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterhead than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Peterhead - Greenock Morton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Newman J. (G) 2. Strachan D. 15. Steele A. 5. Brown J. 3. Duffy F. 77. Barry M. 21. Forrest D. 17. Smith C. 8. McCarthy A. 20. McGinn N. 10. Shanks K.	1. Storer J. (G) 20. Comrie A. 6. Moore K. 23. Longridge J. 2. Ballantyne C. 19. Robertson K. 21. Gillespie G. (C) 17. MacPherson C. 18. Garrity M. 7. Moffat O. 9. Adeloye T.
Substitutes
12. Brown J. 18. Brown J. 4. Goldie C. 29. Horn T. 23. Mackie F. 7. McGuffie C. 13. Oluyemi B. (G) 19. Pawlett P. 22. Ross S.	35. Black D. 4. Corr D. 3. Delaney Z. 5. Hart S. 30. Holloway H. 41. Murdoch S. (G) 29. O'Halloran M. 22. Shaw N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', Smith C. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, McGinn N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 1 - 1, Adeloye T. ⚽, Garrity M. (A),
55', Adeloye T. 🟨,
60', 1 - 2, Adeloye T. (Pen),
65', Gillespie G. 🟨,
69', Moffat O. ↓, Shaw N. ↑,
70', McGinn N. ↓, McGuffie C. ↑,
70', Gillespie G. ↓, O'Halloran M. ↑,
71', Smith C. ↓, Pawlett P. ↑,
71', Barry M. ↓, Ross S. ↑,
73', Adeloye T. 🟨,
80', Garrity M. ↓, Delaney Z. ↑,
81', Strachan D. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
90+3', Robertson K. ↓, Corr D. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 2, Shanks K. ⚽,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
103', Shanks K. 🟨,
103', Forrest D. 🟨,
114', Duffy F. ↓, Horn T. ↑,
117', Horn T. 🟨,
Penalties (3 - 5)
1, Shaw N. (Pen),
1, McCarthy A. (Pen),
2, Moore K. (Pen),
2, McGuffie C. (Pen),
3, MacPherson C. (Pen),
3, Brown J. (Pen),
4, Longridge J. (Pen),
4, Shanks K. (Pen),
5, Ballantyne C. (Pen),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peterhead won 0.

Peterhead is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Greenock has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Greenock could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Peterhead won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:16. (average 1:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Peterhead won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 1:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peterhead
Scottish League One
22.11.25	Peterhead - Stenhousemuir	1:4 ✺
15.11.25	Peterhead - Montrose	1:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
11.11.25	Stirling Albion - Peterhead	2:1 ✺
Scottish League One
08.11.25	Hamilton Academical - Peterhead	3:0 ✺
01.11.25	Cove Rangers - Peterhead	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LTLLW
- Greenock Morton
Scottish Football Championship
22.11.25	Dunfermline Athletic - Greenock Morton	1:0 ✺
15.11.25	Ross County - Greenock Morton	0:3 ✺
08.11.25	Greenock Morton - Arbroath	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Raith Rovers - Greenock Morton	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Greenock Morton - St. Johnstone	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
12.07.25	Peterhead - Greenock Morton	2:4
Scottish Cup
27.11.18	Peterhead - Greenock Morton	0:3
24.11.18	Greenock Morton - Peterhead	1:1
Scottish League One
02.05.15	Greenock Morton - Peterhead	3:1
28.02.15	Peterhead - Greenock Morton	1:3
20.12.14	Greenock Morton - Peterhead	0:1
23.08.14	Peterhead - Greenock Morton	1:2

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