Match Info

EFL Cup - 1/64-finals

Date: 12 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: Edgeley Park (Stockport)

Referee: Jackson S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Stockport County		Crewe Alexandra

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.9	4.33	Watch
	1.75	3.9	4.33
	1.72	3.95	4.25	Watch
	1.75	3.92	4.38
	1.59	3.92	5.41	Watch
	1.75	3.75	4.5
	1.72	4	4.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.47)	3.91 ↓ (4.4)	4.53 ↓ (5.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stockport County
55%

Draw
24.2%

Crewe Alexandra
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

21.1%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stockport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stockport County's form might have worsened.

Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crewe Alexandra's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	6.2%	0%

Stockport County - Crewe Alexandra Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Stockport (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Crewe (5.61) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Stockport (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.5 - Crewe (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB, 1st Half - Stockport (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Stockport County will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Stockport (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Crewe (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hinchliffe B. (G) 16. Connolly C. 15. Pye E. 23. Andrew D. 2. O'Keeffe C. 26. Norwood O. (C) 18. Fiorini L. 3. Dodgson O. 27. Bailey O. 19. Wootton K. 9. Lowe N.	13. Waller S. (G) 30. Dancey S. 16. Golding J. 22. Croker P. 18. Connolly J. 14. Finney C. 32. Moore L. 23. Powell J. (C) 19. Lunt O. 29. Thibaut A. 36. Tezgel E.
Substitutes
34. Addai C. (G) 47. Allen A. 8. Camps C. 7. Diamond J. 10. Fevrier J. 48. Gardner C. 45. Grogan C. 40. Mee A. 41. Okeke J.	20. Agius C. 34. Armstrong O. 2. Billington L. 1. Booth T. (G) 27. Hodkin J. 24. March J. 26. O'Reilly T. 6. Sanders M. H.
Coaches
Challinor D.	Bell L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Andrew D. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
49', 1 - 0, Wootton K. ⚽, Dodgson O. (A),
52', 2 - 0, Lowe N. ⚽, Dodgson O. (A),
56', Connolly C. 🟨,
60', Wootton K. ↓, Diamond J. ↑,
60', Dodgson O. ↓, Gardner C. ↑,
61', O'Keeffe C. ↓, Okeke J. ↑,
61', Norwood O. ↓, Fevrier J. ↑,
62', Lunt O. ↓, Agius C. ↑,
62', Connolly J. ↓, O'Reilly T. ↑,
62', Thibaut A. ↓, Armstrong O. ↑,
62', Golding J. ↓, Billington L. ↑,
71', Finney C. ↓, Hodkin J. ↑,
75', Lowe N. ↓, Allen A. ↑,
77', 3 - 0, Fiorini L. ⚽, Gardner C. (A),
87', 3 - 1, Tezgel E. ⚽, Billington L. (A),

Preview

Stockport is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Crewe has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Stockport is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Stockport won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Stockport won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stockport County
English League One
09.08.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Stockport County	1:2 ✺
03.08.25	Stockport County - Bolton Wanderers	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Stockport County - Hull City	0:1 ✺
25.07.25	Salford City - Stockport County	1:1 ✺
12.07.25	Stockport County - Bristol Rovers	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLTW
- Crewe Alexandra
English League Two
09.08.25	Crewe Alexandra - Accrington Stanley	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Salford City - Crewe Alexandra	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Southport - Crewe Alexandra	2:1 ✺
23.07.25	Crewe Alexandra - Stoke City	1:2 ✺
19.07.25	Crewe Alexandra - Birmingham City	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
13.02.24	Stockport County - Crewe Alexandra	1:3
24.10.23	Crewe Alexandra - Stockport County	0:2
31.01.23	Crewe Alexandra - Stockport County	1:1
26.12.22	Stockport County - Crewe Alexandra	2:0

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