Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 28

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Edgeley Park (Stockport) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Atkinson B. (Eng)


	Stockport County		Walsall

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.8	4.2
	1.73	3.7	4.4
	1.75	3.75	4.5
	1.81	3.76	4.68
	1.79	3.76	4.69
	1.7	4	4
	1.79	3.74	4.3	Watch
	1.75	3.7	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.47)	3.78 ↓ (4.34)	4.37 ↓ (6.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stockport County
53.5%

Draw
24.9%

Walsall
21.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.9%

21.7%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

22.3%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stockport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stockport County's form might have worsened.

Walsall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Walsall's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stockport County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Walsall, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

Stockport County - Walsall Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Stockport will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Walsall will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stockport: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hinchliffe B. (G) 4. Wright A. 5. Byrne N. 6. Horsfall F. 23. Bristow E. 24. Lemonheigh-Evans C. 18. Croasdale R. (C) 8. Camps C. 27. Bailey O. 25. Olaofe I. 19. Wootton K.	22. Smith J. (G) 2. Okagbue D. 6. Farquharson P. 5. Daniels D. (C) 10. Knowles T. 8. Hutchinson I. 14. Comley B. 17. Earing J. 3. Gordon L. 39. Johnson D. 11. James-Taylor D.
Substitutes
22. Cotterill J. 30. Johnson C. 9. Madden P. 28. Mee A. 29. Okeke J. 11. Powell N. 12. Smith J. (G)	36. Adegboyega E. 21. Allen T. 1. Evans O. (G) 12. Foulkes J. 18. Gordon J. 16. Maher R. 25. Stirk R.
Coaches
Challinor D.	Sadler M. J.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 13).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Walsall could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Stockport is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Stockport won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Stockport won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stockport County
English League Two
01.01.24	Stockport County - Mansfield Town	0:2 ✺
29.12.23	Bradford City - Stockport County	0:0 ✺
26.12.23	Barrow - Stockport County	2:2 ✺
22.12.23	Stockport County - Notts County	2:1 ✺
16.12.23	Stockport County - Sutton United	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTTWW
- Walsall FC
English FA Cup
06.01.24	Southampton - Walsall	4:0 ✺
English League Two
01.01.24	Grimsby Town - Walsall	1:6 ✺
29.12.23	Walsall - Wrexham	3:1 ✺
26.12.23	Walsall - Crewe Alexandra	2:0 ✺
23.12.23	Accrington Stanley - Walsall	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
12.08.23	Walsall - Stockport County	2:1
English FA Cup
08.01.23	Stockport County - Walsall	1:2
English League Two
29.12.22	Walsall - Stockport County	0:2
01.10.22	Stockport County - Walsall	1:1

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