Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 23

Date: 22 December 2023, Friday

Location: Edgeley Park (Stockport)

Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)


	Stockport County		Notts County

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.75	5
	1.66	3.8	4.8
	1.7	4	4.5	Watch
	1.71	4.02	5.03
	1.69	4.03	5.03
	1.65	4	4.4
	1.67	4.05	4.65	Watch
	1.66	3.85	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.74)	3.94 ↑ (3.92)	4.75 ↑ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stockport County
56.2%

Draw
24%

Notts County
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

23.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

22.4%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stockport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stockport County that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	11.8%	17.6%

Stockport County - Notts County Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Stockport will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Notts County will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stockport: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hinchliffe B. (G) 5. Byrne N. 6. Horsfall F. 15. Pye E. 2. Knoyle K. 18. Croasdale R. 27. Bailey O. 3. Touray I. 9. Madden P. (C) 25. Olaofe I. 19. Wootton K.	26. Stone A. (G) 2. Brindley R. 15. Baldwin A. 4. Cameron K. (C) 11. Nemane A. 8. Austin S. 16. Bostock J. 10. Jones J. 7. Crowley D. 17. McGoldrick D. 9. Langstaff M.
Substitutes
8. Camps C. 22. Cotterill J. 30. Johnson C. 11. Powell N. 26. Richardson J. 12. Smith J. (G) 4. Wright A.	21. Adebayo-Rowling T. 23. Chicksen A. 32. Gosling D. 6. O'Brien J. 5. Rawlinson C. 43. Sanderson J. 33. Tipton O.
Coaches
Challinor D.	Williams L.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stockport won 1.

Recent matches Stockport is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Notts County is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Stockport could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Stockport is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Stockport won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Stockport won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stockport County
English League Two
16.12.23	Stockport County - Sutton United	8:0 ✺
English FA Cup
13.12.23	Stockport County - Aldershot Town	0:1 ✺
English League Two
09.12.23	Morecambe - Stockport County	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
06.12.23	Wigan Athletic - Stockport County	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
03.12.23	Aldershot Town - Stockport County	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLTLT
- Notts County
English League Two
16.12.23	Harrogate Town - Notts County	3:1 ✺
09.12.23	Notts County - Walsall	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
01.12.23	Notts County - Shrewsbury Town	2:3 ✺
English League Two
28.11.23	Notts County - Crawley Town	3:1 ✺
25.11.23	AFC Wimbledon - Notts County	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
15.03.22	Stockport County - Notts County	3:0
23.10.21	Notts County - Stockport County	2:1
23.02.21	Stockport County - Notts County	0:0
English FA Trophy
16.01.21	Stockport County - Notts County	1:2
English National League
15.12.20	Notts County - Stockport County	1:0
06.08.19	Notts County - Stockport County	1:1

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