Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 24

Date: 26 December 2023, Tuesday

Location: Holker Street (Barrow in Furness)

Referee: Coy M. (Eng)


	Barrow		Stockport County

	1	X	2
	2.88	3	2.7
	2.87	3.1	2.5
	2.75	3.1	2.7
	2.92	3.15	2.69
	2.93	3.14	2.69
	2.8	3.1	2.45
	2.83	3.18	2.54	Watch
	2.8	3	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↓ (3)	3.1 ↓ (3.38)	2.61 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barrow
33.2%

Draw
30.5%

Stockport County
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

27.9%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

28.9%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barrow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Stockport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stockport County could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	8.3%	58.3%

Barrow - Stockport County Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Barrow will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Stockport will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stockport: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Farman P. (G) 17. Chester J. 5. Ray G. 6. Canavan N. (C) 18. Stephenson L. 8. Spence K. 4. Campbell D. 15. Gotts R. 11. Newby E. 34. Whitfield B. 19. Telford D.	1. Hinchliffe B. (G) 5. Byrne N. 6. Horsfall F. 15. Pye E. 2. Knoyle K. 18. Croasdale R. (C) 8. Camps C. 3. Touray I. 27. Bailey O. 25. Olaofe I. 19. Wootton K.
Substitutes
20. Acquah E. 24. Feely R. 16. Foley S. 10. Garner G. 12. Lillis J. (G) 13. White T.	22. Cotterill J. 30. Johnson C. 9. Madden P. 11. Powell N. 26. Richardson J. 12. Smith J. (G) 4. Wright A.
Coaches
Wild P.	Challinor D.

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barrow won 3.

Barrow is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Stockport is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Stockport could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Barrow have a series of guest games.

Stockport will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Barrow won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Barrow won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barrow
English League Two
22.12.23	Crewe Alexandra - Barrow	1:3 ✺
16.12.23	Swindon Town - Barrow	0:3 ✺
English FA Cup
02.12.23	Maidstone United - Barrow	2:1 ✺
English League Two
28.11.23	Barrow - Walsall	2:0 ✺
25.11.23	Colchester United - Barrow	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WWLWW
- Stockport County
English League Two
22.12.23	Stockport County - Notts County	2:1 ✺
16.12.23	Stockport County - Sutton United	8:0 ✺
English FA Cup
13.12.23	Stockport County - Aldershot Town	0:1 ✺
English League Two
09.12.23	Morecambe - Stockport County	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
06.12.23	Wigan Athletic - Stockport County	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
19.08.23	Stockport County - Barrow	1:0
25.02.23	Barrow - Stockport County	1:0
30.07.22	Stockport County - Barrow	2:3
English National League
13.08.19	Stockport County - Barrow	3:2
Club Friendly
29.07.17	Stockport County - Barrow	0:1
12.07.16	Stockport County - Barrow	0:1
English National League North
03.04.15	Barrow - Stockport County	1:0

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