The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Walsall 44.9%
Draw 28%
Crewe Alexandra 27%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.1%
27.4%
27.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.9%
26.3%
26.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Walsall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
68.7%
18.7%
12.5%
Walsall - Crewe Alexandra Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Walsall will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Crewe will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Walsall: 46.1% – 91.5%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Walsall will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Roberts M. (G) 33. Browne R. 4. Flint A. 30. Weir E. 2. Barrett C. 22. Jellis J. 14. Comley B. 29. Finnigan R. 18. Harper V. 9. Matt J. (C) 15. Kanu D.
13. Waller S. (G) 14. Finney C. 2. Billington L. (C) 18. Connolly J. 3. Hutchinson R. 23. Powell J. 6. Sanders M. H. 26. O'Reilly T. 19. Lunt O. 20. Agius C. 24. March J.
Substitutes
37. Adomah A. 17. Clarke C. 6. Farquharson P. 12. Hornby S. (G) 8. Lakin C. 25. Okeke J. 19. Pressley A.
9. Bogle O. 1. Booth T. (G) 22. Croker P. 17. Holicek M. 4. Mingi J. J. 31. Moult L. 15. Rankine D.
Coaches
Sadler M. J.
Bell L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, Matt J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jellis J. ↓, Clarke C. ↑,
63', Billington L. 🟨,
68', March J. ↓, Holicek M. ↑,
68', Powell J. ↓, Moult L. ↑,
70', Agius C. ↓, Bogle O. ↑,
72', Kanu D. ↓, Adomah A. ↑,
73', Matt J. ↓, Pressley A. ↑,
78', Finney C. ↓, Mingi J. J. ↑,
79', Holicek M. 🟨,
83', Lunt O. ↓, Rankine D. ↑,
90', Finnigan R. ↓, Lakin C. ↑,
90+3', Harper V. 🟨,
90+4', Harper V. ↓, Okeke J. ↑,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Walsall won 2.
Walsall is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Crewe has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Walsall has had a series of away games.
Walsall might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Walsall: Hancock M.
(Knee Injury)
Williams H.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in Crewe: Tabiner J.
(Knee Injury)
Thibaut A.
(Red Card)
Tracey S.
(Broken Leg)
There are questionable in Walsall: Burke H.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Crewe: Bogle O.
(Calf Injury)
Demetriou M.
(Inactive)
Golding J.
(Inactive)
Holicek M.
(Inactive)
Lankester J.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Walsall won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Walsall won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Walsall - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 45.1%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Crewe Alexandra - the odds 3.38 are the expected chance of winning is 27.49%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.