Match Info

SWEDEN: Svenska Cupen - Qualification - Final

Date: 29 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Danderyd IP (Stocksund)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Sport Bladet Play


	Stocksund		Hammarby

	1	X	2
	16	8.75	1.1
	21	8.5	1.08
	21.02	9.72	1.08
	20.55	9.05	1.1	Watch
	21	9	1.05
	20	9.9	1.08
	21	8.5	1.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	20.08 ↑ (6.45)	9.06 ↑ (5.15)	1.08 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stocksund
4.6%

Draw
10.2%

Hammarby
85.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.4%

18%

67.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1%

17.7%

68.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stocksund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stocksund's form might have worsened.

Hammarby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hammarby's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stocksund than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stocksund, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hammarby than the current prediction. (-16.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hammarby, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Stocksund - Hammarby Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Stocksund will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Hammarby will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Erabi J. ⚽,
38', Edeland M. 🟥,
44', 0 - 2, Collander D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
48', 0 - 3, Madjed M. ⚽,
52', 0 - 4, Breze I. ⚽,
83', 1 - 4, Marrah K. ⚽,
86', 1 - 5, Madjed M. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 6, Madjed M. ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Stocksund is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hammarby is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Hammarby is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Stocksund
Swedish Division 1 Norra
26.08.24	Täby - Stocksund	4:3 ✺
18.08.24	Stocksund - United Nordic	4:2 ✺
10.08.24	Örebro Syrianska - Stocksund	4:1 ✺
03.08.24	Stocksund - FBK Karlstad	2:2 ✺
30.06.24	Sollentuna - Stocksund	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWLTW
- Hammarby IF Football
Swedish Allsvenskan
26.08.24	Hammarby - GAIS	0:0 ✺
17.08.24	Värnamo - Hammarby	0:3 ✺
12.08.24	Hammarby - Brommapojkarna	3:3 ✺
04.08.24	Kalmar - Hammarby	1:4 ✺
28.07.24	Hammarby - Mjällby	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWTWW

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