Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 23

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	Workington		Stockton Town

	1	X	2
	3.05	3.25	2.08
	2.88	3.46	2.16
	2.96	3.7	2.17	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.15
	3	3.25	2.17
	3	3.4	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (3.45)	3.38 ↓ (3.57)	2.15 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Workington
30.7%

Draw
26.9%

Stockton Town
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

26%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

25%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Workington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Stockton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Workington than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stockton Town than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stockton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Workington - Stockton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Barnes C. 🟥,
27', 0 - 1, Hayes K. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Workington is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Stockton Town has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Stockton Town may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Stockton Town is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Workington won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:14. (average 0.3:4.7).

Including home match between the teams, Workington won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Workington
English NPL Premier Division
06.12.25	Workington - Bamber Bridge	1:3 ✺
29.11.25	Leek Town - Workington	2:2 ✺
22.11.25	Workington - Warrington Town	1:1 ✺
18.11.25	Workington - Guiseley	0:1 ✺
15.11.25	Rushall Olympic - Workington	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTTLT
- Stockton Town
English NPL Premier Division
13.12.25	Stockton Town - Whitby Town	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Stockton Town	1:1 ✺
02.12.25	Stockton Town - Leek Town	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Stockton Town - Warrington Rylands	3:1 ✺
22.11.25	Lancaster City - Stockton Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
12.08.25	Stockton Town - Workington	6:0
01.02.25	Workington - Stockton Town	1:3
23.10.24	Stockton Town - Workington	5:0

Upcoming Matches