Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 21

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday


	Stocksbridge Park Steels		Stockton Town

	1	X	2
	2.98	3.25	2.15
	2.94	3.5	2.17
	2.95	3.65	2.19	Watch
	2.88	3.3	2.15
	2.98	3.63	2.18
	3	3.4	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.63)	3.46 ↑ (3.4)	2.17 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stocksbridge Park Steels
31.1%

Draw
26.6%

Stockton Town
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

26.5%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

27.4%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stocksbridge Park Steels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Stockton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stocksbridge Park Steels than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockton Town than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Stocksbridge Park Steels - Stockton Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stockton Town (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
73', 0 - 1, Nicholson A. ⚽,
77', 1 - 1, Rawson L. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Stocksbridge has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Stockton Town's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Stocksbridge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Stocksbridge has had a series of away games.

Stockton Town might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Stocksbridge won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stocksbridge Park Steels
English NPL Premier Division
29.11.25	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Lancaster City	1:4 ✺
22.11.25	Ilkeston - Stocksbridge Park Steels	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Marine - Stocksbridge Park Steels	2:0 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
11.11.25	Morpeth Town - Stocksbridge Park Steels	3:0 ✺
08.11.25	Hednesford Town - Stocksbridge Park Steels	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLLL
- Stockton Town
English NPL Premier Division
02.12.25	Stockton Town - Leek Town	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Stockton Town - Warrington Rylands	3:1 ✺
22.11.25	Lancaster City - Stockton Town	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Warrington Town - Stockton Town	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Stockton Town - Ilkeston	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
06.09.25	Stockton Town - Stocksbridge Park Steels	3:2

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