Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 16

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday


	Stockton Town		Matlock Town

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.6	3.8
	1.71	3.7	4
	1.8	4.09	3.66
	1.77	4.1	3.89
	1.67	3.8	4.2
	1.81	3.64	3.7
	1.71	3.7	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.57)	3.8 ↓ (4.15)	3.89 ↓ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stockton Town
52.5%

Draw
24%

Matlock Town
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

22%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

20.5%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stockton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stockton Town's form might have worsened.

Matlock Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stockton Town than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stockton Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matlock Town than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Stockton Town - Matlock Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
77', 1 - 0, Scott J. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 17).

Stockton Town in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Matlock is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Stockton Town is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Stockton Town to win the game is with odds 1.56.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stockton Town
English FA Trophy
26.10.24	Stockton Town - Newton Aycliffe	2:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
23.10.24	Stockton Town - Workington	5:0 ✺
19.10.24	Stockton Town - Mickleover Sports	3:0 ✺
15.10.24	Bamber Bridge - Stockton Town	1:5 ✺
12.10.24	Warrington Rylands - Stockton Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWWW
- Matlock Town
English NPL Premier Division
29.10.24	Matlock Town - Macclesfield Town	2:3 ✺
22.10.24	Matlock Town - Warrington Rylands	1:1 ✺
19.10.24	Matlock Town - Basford United	3:2 ✺
12.10.24	Hebburn Town - Matlock Town	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Stourbridge - Matlock Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LTWWL

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