Match Info

EFL Cup - 1/64-finals

Date: 12 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: Bet365 Stadium (Stoke on Trent)

Referee: Bell J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Stoke City		Walsall

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	6	Watch
	1.71	3.9	4.6
	1.49	4.25	5.9	Watch
	1.49	4.32	6.39
	14.02	1.03	30.00	Watch
	1.73	3.9	4.75
	1.51	4.36	6.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (1.73)	3.73 ↓ (4.01)	9.1 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stoke City
44.1%

Draw
39.6%

Walsall
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

23.3%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stoke City's form might have worsened.

Walsall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Walsall might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Stoke City - Walsall Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Stoke (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.5 - Walsall (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Stoke (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Stoke City will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Stoke (votes: 4 - 50%). Walsall (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Bonham J. (G) 57. Mears J. 26. Phillips A. 23. Gibson B. (C) 17. Bocat E. 18. Lawal B. 12. Seko T. 42. Manhoef M. 14. Donley J. 56. Fawunmi F. 11. Bozenik R.	12. Hornby S. (G) 5. Burke H. 6. Farquharson P. 20. Cox D. 14. Comley B. 2. Barrett C. 18. Harper V. 17. Clarke C. 16. Maher R. 37. Adomah A. (C) 10. Gordon J.
Substitutes
10. Bae J. 8. Baker L. 3. Cresswell A. 34. Fielding F. (G) 9. Mubama D. 46. Smith W. 22. Tchamadeu J. 7. Thomas S. 16. Wilmot B.	33. Browne R. 4. Flint A. 3. Hancock M. 32. Hollman J. 22. Jellis J. 9. Matt J. 1. Roberts M. (G) 7. Stuttle J. 28. Warrington L.
Coaches
Robins M.	Sadler M. J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Seko T. 🟨,
55', Lawal B. 🟨,
57', Farquharson P. 🟨,
64', Manhoef M. ↓, Bae J. ↑,
64', Lawal B. ↓, Smith W. ↑,
64', Gibson B. ↓, Wilmot B. ↑,
65', Maher R. ↓, Hollman J. ↑,
65', Gordon J. ↓, Stuttle J. ↑,
66', Barrett C. ↓, Jellis J. ↑,
74', Farquharson P. ↓, Flint A. ↑,
78', Clarke C. ↓, Matt J. ↑,
78', Seko T. ↓, Baker L. ↑,
89', Bozenik R. ↓, Mubama D. ↑,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Matt J. (Pen),
1, Baker L. (Pen),
2, Stuttle J. (Pen),
2, Donley J. (Pen),
3, Flint A. (Pen),
3, Mubama D. (Pen),
4, Jellis J. (Pen),
4, Bae J. (Pen),
5, Adomah A. (Pen),
5, Bonham J. (Pen),

Preview

Stoke is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Walsall has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Stoke is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Stoke won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stoke City
English League Championship
09.08.25	Stoke City - Derby County	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Stoke City - Burnley	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Stoke City - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
23.07.25	Crewe Alexandra - Stoke City	1:2 ✺
16.07.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Stoke City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWTWL
- Walsall FC
English League Two
09.08.25	Gillingham - Walsall	1:0 ✺
02.08.25	Walsall - Swindon Town	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Forest Green Rovers - Walsall	0:3 ✺
22.07.25	Walsall - Derby County	2:3 ✺
16.07.25	Walsall - Aston Villa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
14.07.18	Walsall - Stoke City	0:3
English League Cup
28.08.13	Stoke City - Walsall	3:1

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