Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP II - ROUND 15

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday


	Stolem Gniewino		Noteć Czarnków

	1	X	2
	4	4	1.62
	4.08	4.05	1.62
	4.08	4.05	1.63
	4.3	4.15	1.59	Watch
	3.7	3.95	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.03 ↑ (3.1)	4.04 ↑ (3.9)	1.63 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stolem Gniewino
22.4%

Draw
22.3%

Noteć Czarnków
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

23.2%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

22.3%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stolem Gniewino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stolem Gniewino's form might have worsened.

Noteć Czarnków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Noteć Czarnków's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stolem Gniewino than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stolem Gniewino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noteć Czarnków than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Noteć Czarnków, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 4).

Stolem Gniewino is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Noteć Czarnków is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Stolem Gniewino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Noteć Czarnków is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stolem Gniewino
Polish Division 3 - Group II
28.10.23	Gedania Gdańsk - Stolem Gniewino	0:1 ✺
20.10.23	Stolem Gniewino - Swit Skolwin	0:0 ✺
15.10.23	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Stolem Gniewino	2:0 ✺
07.10.23	Stolem Gniewino - Vineta Wolin	2:3 ✺
01.10.23	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Stolem Gniewino	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WTLLL
- MKS Noteć Czarnków
Polish Division 3 - Group II
28.10.23	Noteć Czarnków - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:1 ✺
21.10.23	Starogard Gdański - Noteć Czarnków	0:4 ✺
14.10.23	Noteć Czarnków - Pogoń Szczecin II	5:0 ✺
07.10.23	Cartusia Kartuzy - Noteć Czarnków	4:0 ✺
30.09.23	Noteć Czarnków - Unia Swarzędz	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWWLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MKS Noteć Czarnków
Polish Division 3 - Group II
10.10.26	Kotwica Kórnik - Noteć Czarnków	✺

Stolem Gniewino - Noteć Czarnków: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide