Match Info

POLAND: Division 2 - Round 28

Date: 12 April 2024, Friday


	Pogoń Siedlce		Olimpia Grudziądz

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.4	3.4
	1.83	3.5	3.75	Watch
	2.1	3.5	3.74
	2.08	3.39	3.3
	1.8	3.4	3.6
	1.87	3.53	3.82	Watch
	1.92	3.6	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (1.95)	3.47 ↓ (3.5)	3.62 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Siedlce
47.9%

Draw
26.6%

Olimpia Grudziądz
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

26.5%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

25.5%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Siedlce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Olimpia Grudziądz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Grudziądz than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Pogoń Siedlce - Olimpia Grudziądz Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Pogoń Siedlce will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Olimpia will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Burek J. (G) 14. Burka D. 56. Demianiuk C. 31. Dzieciol E. 55. Karwot M. 21. Milasius T. 4. Misiak P. 10. Mis K. 9. Nowak D. 16. Sinior J. 7. Szuprytowski D.	30. Gorski K. (G) 7. Czarnowski P. 44. Frelek D. 16. Glapka G. 77. Kobryn R. 4. Kostkowski D. (C) 8. Kurowski K. 20. Maruszak I. 6. Sikorski O. 93. Tsyupa I. 25. Zbiciak B.
Substitutes
8. Bogusiewicz K. 20. Bujalski C. 23. Derlatka H. 43. Hrnciar L. 3. Majewski R. 18. Pyrdol P. 70. Szatkowski P. (G) 91. Walczak T. 99. Wicenciak B.	. Chadala F. (G) . Cherniy K. 10. Cichon K. . Goralski W. . Krocz S. . Rabet F. 29. Rychert K. . Sujecki N. (G) . Vu Thanh D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Kurowski K. 🟨,
45+1', Karwot M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kurowski K. ↓, Cichon K. ↑,
57', Maruszak I. ↓, Rychert K. ↑,
70', Czarnowski P. ↓, Krocz S. ↑,
74', Nowak D. ↓, Walczak T. ↑,
74', Sinior J. ↓, Hrnciar L. ↑,
76', Zbiciak B. 🟨,
84', Glapka G. ↓, Rabet F. ↑,
84', Frelek D. ↓, Cherniy K. ↑,
90+3', Cherniy K. 🟨,
90+4', Hrnciar L. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pogoń Siedlce won 3.

Pogoń Siedlce is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Olimpia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Pogoń Siedlce have a series of home games.

In this match Pogoń Siedlce is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Pogoń Siedlce to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Pogoń Siedlce won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 16-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Pogoń Siedlce won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Siedlce
Polish Division 2
05.04.24	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Pogoń Siedlce	2:2 ✺
30.03.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Lech Poznań 2	2:0 ✺
22.03.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Olimpia Elbląg	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Polonia Bytom	3:3 ✺
13.03.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Stomil Olsztyn	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWWTW
- Olimpia Grudziądz
Polish Division 2
06.04.24	Olimpia Grudziądz - GKS Jastrzębie	2:1 ✺
30.03.24	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Olimpia Grudziądz	1:2 ✺
23.03.24	Olimpia Grudziądz - Radunia Stężyca	1:1 ✺
15.03.24	Skra Częstochowa - Olimpia Grudziądz	0:0 ✺
10.03.24	Olimpia Grudziądz - Chojniczanka Chojnice	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
01.10.23	Olimpia Grudziądz - Pogoń Siedlce	2:3
18.04.21	Olimpia Grudziądz - Pogoń Siedlce	1:2
17.10.20	Pogoń Siedlce - Olimpia Grudziądz	0:1
17.11.18	Pogoń Siedlce - Olimpia Grudziądz	3:1
28.07.18	Olimpia Grudziądz - Pogoń Siedlce	2:0
Polish Division 1
05.05.18	Olimpia Grudziądz - Pogoń Siedlce	4:2
Club Friendly
04.02.18	Olimpia Grudziądz - Pogoń Siedlce	1:0

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