Match Info

Date: 21 August 2022, Sunday

Location: Marienlyst Stadion (Drammen)

Referee: Hagenes K. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Discovery+


	Strømsgodset		Jerv

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.75	8	Watch
	1.32	5.5	8
	1.33	5.8	7.5
	1.29	5.6	7.8
	1.33	6.22	8.31
	1.3	4.8	8
	1.3	5.8	8.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.45)	5.64 ↑ (4.36)	8 ↑ (6.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Strømsgodset
71.6%

Draw
16.6%

Jerv
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

21.3%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

20.7%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strømsgodset has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Strømsgodset's performance.

Jerv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strømsgodset than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Strømsgodset that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerv than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	13.3%	16.7%

Strømsgodset - Jerv Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Strømsgodset will win (votes: 21 - 70%). Jerv will win (votes: 5 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Strømsgodset: 53.6% – 86.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen).

Strømsgodset has the most likely position - 7 (22.04%), has project points - 43, has currently - 25, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Jerv has the most likely position - 15 (58.69%), has project points - 22, has currently - 14, has a good chance of relegated (91%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 20, small importance 16, small match rating 18. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Strømsgodset is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Jerv is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Strømsgodset could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Strømsgodset is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Strømsgodset: Krasniqi K. (Injury)

There will not play in Jerv: Ness T. (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Strømsgodset won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Strømsgodset won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Strømsgodset IF
Norwegian Eliteserien
07.08.22	Strømsgodset - Sarpsborg 08	3:1 ✺
31.07.22	Molde - Strømsgodset	3:0 ✺
24.07.22	Strømsgodset - Hamarkameratene	1:1 ✺
09.07.22	Strømsgodset - Odd	0:0 ✺
03.07.22	Aalesunds - Strømsgodset	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLTTL
- FK Jerv
Norwegian Eliteserien
14.08.22	Jerv - Lillestrøm SK	1:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
10.08.22	Jerv - Odd	2:3 ET ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
07.08.22	Haugesund - Jerv	3:1 ✺
30.07.22	Jerv - Vålerenga	2:5 ✺
23.07.22	Bodø Glimt - Jerv	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
03.04.22	Jerv - Strømsgodset	1:0
Club Friendly
09.05.21	Strømsgodset - Jerv	2:2

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