Match Info

NORWAY: ELITESERIEN - ROUND 16

Date: 30 July 2023, Sunday

Location: Color Line Stadion (Ålesund)

Referee: Tennoy M. (Nor)


	Aalesunds		Strømsgodset

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.6	3	Watch
	2.2	3.5	2.95
	2.32	3.65	2.88
	2.33	3.74	3.02
	2.15	3.3	2.75
	2.31	3.68	2.88	Watch
	2.27	3.55	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.35)	3.57 ↑ (3.34)	2.92 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aalesunds
41.6%

Draw
26.2%

Strømsgodset
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

27.5%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

28.4%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aalesunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Strømsgodset has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalesunds than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strømsgodset than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.8%	27.6%	27.6%

Aalesunds - Strømsgodset Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Aalesunds will win (votes: 13 - 44.8%). Strømsgodset will win (votes: 8 - 27.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 27.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aalesunds: 26.7% – 62.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grytebust S. (G) 31. Munksgaard A. 5. Fallman D. (C) 4. Hopland N. 25. Kitolano J. 37. Melland H. 6. Segberg E. 22. Karlsbakk M. 29. Kristensen B. 27. Diop M. 19. Atanga I.	1. Myhra V. (G) 2. Leifsson A. 71. Valsvik G. (C) 27. Dahl F. 7. Stenevik H. 10. Stengel H. 20. Danso E. 4. Grogaard T. 77. Mehnert M. 22. Therkelsen J. 21. Farji M.
Substitutes
30. Andersen A. 10. Barmen K. 35. Berntsen S. 34. Holte S. 13. Lansing M. (G) 26. Larsen T. (G) 7. Lunding K. 2. Murray T. 15. Odemarksbakken K.	28. Blikstad E. 14. Enersen O. 3. Hanssen S. 15. Heredia-Randen A. 30. Holst-Larsen F. 40. Saetra M. (G) 19. Thorsen A.
Coaches
Johnsen C.	Isnes J.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aalesunds won 2.

Aalesunds is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Strømsgodset is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Strømsgodset could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

There are questionable in Aalesunds: Ammitzboll A. (Injury) Ebiye M. (Injury) Moe J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Strømsgodset: Ekeland J. (Injury) Ipalibo J. (Injury)

Last 16 head-to-head matches Aalesunds won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 22-30.

Including matches at home between the teams Aalesunds won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aalesunds FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
24.07.23	Viking Stavanger - Aalesunds	3:1 ✺
19.07.23	Lillestrøm SK - Aalesunds	5:1 ✺
16.07.23	Aalesunds - Odd	0:3 ✺
07.07.23	Hamarkameratene - Aalesunds	2:1 ✺
02.07.23	Aalesunds - Rosenborg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLLW
- Strømsgodset IF
Norwegian Eliteserien
23.07.23	Strømsgodset - Rosenborg	0:1 ✺
16.07.23	Brann - Strømsgodset	1:0 ✺
09.07.23	Strømsgodset - Sarpsborg 08	5:2 ✺
03.07.23	Stabæk - Strømsgodset	0:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
28.06.23	Molde - Strømsgodset	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
16.04.23	Strømsgodset - Aalesunds	1:0
04.09.22	Strømsgodset - Aalesunds	1:2
03.07.22	Aalesunds - Strømsgodset	1:0
09.12.20	Aalesunds - Strømsgodset	1:4
28.06.20	Strømsgodset - Aalesunds	1:1
26.11.17	Aalesunds - Strømsgodset	4:3
09.04.17	Strømsgodset - Aalesunds	1:1

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