Match Info

SCOTLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 19

Date: 31 December 2022, Saturday


	Albion Rovers		Dumbarton

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.2	2
	3.6	3.25	1.87
	3.8	3.35	1.85
	3.65	3.35	1.93
	4.1	3.55	1.85
	3.5	3.5	1.83
	4	3.58	1.85
	3.6	3.35	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↑ (3.36)	3.39 ↑ (3.13)	1.89 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albion Rovers
24.6%

Draw
26.9%

Dumbarton
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

29%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

28.9%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albion Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Dumbarton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albion Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dumbarton than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	33.3%	52.4%

Albion Rovers - Dumbarton Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Albion will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Dumbarton will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dumbarton: 31% – 73.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 10 in the zone League Two (Relegation) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).

Recent matches Albion is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dumbarton is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Albion could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Dumbarton will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Albion won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Albion won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albion Rovers
Scottish League Two
23.12.22	Annan Athletic - Albion Rovers	5:1 ✺
03.12.22	Forfar Athletic - Albion Rovers	1:0 ✺
Scottish Cup
26.11.22	Albion Rovers - Stirling University	0:1 ET ✺
Scottish League Two
19.11.22	Albion Rovers - Stranraer	1:0 ✺
12.11.22	East Fife - Albion Rovers	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLLWW
- Dumbarton
Scottish League Two
24.12.22	Dumbarton - East Fife	2:0 ✺
03.12.22	Bonnyrigg Rose - Dumbarton	1:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
26.11.22	Clyde - Dumbarton	1:3 ✺
Scottish League Two
19.11.22	Dumbarton - Forfar Athletic	2:2 ✺
12.11.22	Elgin City - Dumbarton	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
15.10.22	Dumbarton - Albion Rovers	1:1
06.08.22	Albion Rovers - Dumbarton	1:2
Scottish League Cup
03.08.13	Dumbarton - Albion Rovers	1:0
04.08.12	Dumbarton - Albion Rovers	N/A

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