Match Info

Challenge Cup - Round 5

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stair Park (Stranraer)


	Stranraer		Queen of the South

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.5	1.85
	3.4	3.7	1.92
	3.39	3.85	1.88
	3.47	2.68	2.38	Watch
	3.68	3.65	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↓ (4.62)	3.48 ↓ (3.98)	1.98 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stranraer
26.6%

Draw
26.7%

Queen of the South
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.8%

22.9%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

19%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stranraer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stranraer's performance.

Queen of the South has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Queen of the South might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stranraer than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queen of the South than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Stranraer - Queen of the South Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Queen of the South (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', 1 - 0, Turay S. ⚽,
89', 1 - 1, Smith L. ⚽,

Preview

Stranraer has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Queen of the South's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Stranraer has had a series of home games.

In this match, Queen of the South is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Stranraer won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Stranraer won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stranraer FC
Scottish League Two
04.10.25	Stranraer - Annan Athletic	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Dumbarton - Stranraer	1:2 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
23.09.25	Stranraer - Motherwell 2	3:0 ✺
Scottish League Two
20.09.25	Stranraer - Elgin City	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Stranraer - Spartans	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWWTL
- Queen of the South
Scottish League One
04.10.25	Queen of the South - Alloa Athletic	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Montrose - Queen of the South	2:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
23.09.25	Queen of the South - Hearts B	2:3 ✺
Scottish League One
20.09.25	Queen of the South - Inverness	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	East Fife - Queen of the South	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
26.07.25	Stranraer - Queen of the South	1:0
14.07.18	Queen of the South - Stranraer	5:3
Scottish Challenge Cup
25.07.15	Queen of the South - Stranraer	2:0

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