Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 18 July 2023, Tuesday

Location: SRC Biljanini Izvori (Ohrid)

Referee: England D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Struga		Žalgiris

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.9	2.55	Watch
	2.9	2.87	2.45	Watch
	3.2	2.9	2.5
	3.05	2.9	2.6
	3.16	2.94	2.58
	2.9	2.75	2.4
	3.22	2.89	2.49	Watch
	3.1	2.9	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.94)	2.88 ↓ (3.08)	2.52 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Struga
30.5%

Draw
32.4%

Žalgiris
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

30.5%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

30.8%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Struga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Žalgiris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Struga than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žalgiris than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.6%	29%	48.4%

Struga - Žalgiris Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Struga will win (votes: 7 - 22.6%). Žalgiris will win (votes: 15 - 48.4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 29%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Žalgiris: 30.8% – 66%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Kjosevski V. (G) 6. Neziri M. 55. Radic S. 16. Krivanjeva B. 24. Malikji E. 10. Bojku B. 11. Shabani B. (C) 33. Zguro V. 14. Radeski M. 9. Ibraimi B. 5. Mazrekaj M.	1. Gertmonas E. (C) 3. Pavelic M. 26. Hnid N. 31. Vucur S. 7. Bopesu J. 5. Gorobsov N. 8. Karashima Y. 71. Kendysh Y. 10. Golubickas P. 80. Antal L. 99. Oyewusi M.
Substitutes
22. Idrizi A. 7. Jahja A. 27. Jarovic S. 31. Jusuf K. 19. Kasami A. 1. Kitanovski K. (G) 77. Kocoski V. 29. Maleski H. 12. Mirseloski R. (G) 8. Tairi F. 3. Tairi H. 28. Ukpa H.	15. Buff O. 25. Duka T. (G) 2. Fofana A. 23. Jansonas R. 96. Jarusevicius G. 9. Kazlauskas D. 4. Kazukolovas K. 12. Mamic P. 13. Mikoliunas S. 33. Milickovic M. 22. Verbickas O. 77. Vilhjalmsson A.
Coaches
Duro S.	Cheburin V.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.

Struga is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Žalgiris in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Struga have a series of guest games.

Žalgiris will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Struga won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Struga
UEFA Champions League
11.07.23	Žalgiris - Struga	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.07.23	Tirana - Struga	2:1 ✺
29.06.23	Partizani Tirana - Struga	1:0 ✺
23.06.23	Struga - Ballkani	2:2 ✺
North Macedonian Cup
20.05.23	Makedonija Gjorče Petrov - Struga	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLLTL
- Žalgiris Vilnius
UEFA Champions League
11.07.23	Žalgiris - Struga	0:0 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
06.07.23	Žalgiris - Riteriai	3:0 ✺
02.07.23	Banga Gargždai - Žalgiris	1:4 ✺
27.06.23	Kauno Žalgiris - Žalgiris	2:5 ✺
22.06.23	Džiugas Telšiai - Žalgiris	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
11.07.23	Žalgiris - Struga	0:0

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