Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 11 July 2023, Tuesday

Location: LFF stadionas (Vilnius)

Referee: Masiyev E. (Aze)


	Žalgiris		Struga

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.5	6.5	Watch
	1.52	3.75	6	Watch
	1.56	3.8	6.5
	1.53	3.78	7.68
	1.44	3.5	6.5
	1.51	3.96	7	Watch
	1.55	3.9	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.57)	3.74 ↑ (3.73)	6.77 ↑ (5.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Žalgiris
61.4%

Draw
24.9%

Struga
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

24.9%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

24%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Žalgiris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Struga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

The ML Model estimate for Žalgiris aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Struga than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	10%	2.5%

Žalgiris - Struga Predictions

Users Predictions: Žalgiris will win (35 of 40 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.25% – 97.75%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gertmonas E. (C) 3. Pavelic M. 26. Hnid N. 31. Vucur S. 7. Bopesu J. 8. Karashima Y. 71. Kendysh Y. 5. Gorobsov N. 22. Verbickas O. 9. Kazlauskas D. 99. Oyewusi M.	95. Kjosevski V. (G) 6. Neziri M. 55. Radic S. 16. Krivanjeva B. 24. Malikji E. 10. Bojku B. 11. Shabani B. (C) 33. Zguro V. 14. Radeski M. 9. Ibraimi B. 5. Mazrekaj M.
Substitutes
80. Antal L. 15. Buff O. 25. Duka T. (G) 2. Fofana A. 10. Golubickas P. 23. Jansonas R. 96. Jarusevicius G. 4. Kazukolovas K. 12. Mamic P. 13. Mikoliunas S. 33. Milickovic M. 77. Vilhjalmsson A.	22. Idrizi A. 7. Jahja A. 27. Jarovic S. 31. Jusuf K. 19. Kasami A. 1. Kitanovski K. (G) 77. Kocoski V. 29. Maleski H. 12. Mirseloski R. (G) 8. Tairi F. 3. Tairi H. 28. Ukpa H.
Coaches
Cheburin V.	Duro S.

Preview

1st leg.

Žalgiris in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Struga is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Žalgiris could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Žalgiris is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Žalgiris to win the game is with odds 1.39.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Žalgiris Vilnius
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
06.07.23	Žalgiris - Riteriai	3:0 ✺
02.07.23	Banga Gargždai - Žalgiris	1:4 ✺
27.06.23	Kauno Žalgiris - Žalgiris	2:5 ✺
22.06.23	Džiugas Telšiai - Žalgiris	1:2 ✺
11.06.23	Žalgiris - Dainava Alytus	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWT
- FC Struga
Club Friendly
05.07.23	Tirana - Struga	2:1 ✺
29.06.23	Partizani Tirana - Struga	1:0 ✺
23.06.23	Struga - Ballkani	2:2 ✺
North Macedonian Cup
20.05.23	Makedonija Gjorče Petrov - Struga	2:1 penalties ✺
North Macedonian 1 MFL
14.05.23	Struga - Shkupi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLTLW

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