The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Strømsgodset 38.5%
Draw 24.6%
Lillestrøm SK 36.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.4%
24.8%
31.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.8%
24.6%
31.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Strømsgodset has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
Lillestrøm SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lillestrøm SK's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strømsgodset than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Strømsgodset, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lillestrøm SK than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lillestrøm SK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
54.5%
27.3%
18.2%
Strømsgodset - Lillestrøm SK Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Strømsgodset will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Lillestrøm will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Strømsgodset: 25.1% – 83.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bratveit P. (G) 25. Taaje J. 71. Valsvik G. 27. Dahl F. 26. Vilsvik L. 10. Stengel H. 20. Danso E. 17. Tomasson L. 77. Mehnert M. 9. Melkersen E. 23. Andersen E.
1. Hagerup S. (G) 64. Larsson E. 30. Foss S. 28. Gabrielsen R. 19. Tonnesen K. 7. Ibrahimaj Y. 55. Krygard K. 21. Karlsbakk M. 17. Kitolano E. 10. Olsen T. (C) 20. Felix Va
Substitutes
21. Farji M. 8. Krasniqi K. 37. Marcello Silalahi S. A. 7. Moller N. 5. Sormo B. 32. Stople F. (G) 22. Therkelsen J. 36. Vilaseca Ardraa F. P.
9. Ali J. 23. Asen G. 14. Bolly M. 16. Charles U. 11. Elkaer F. 6. Hoff V. 18. Karlin A. 38. Rossing-Lelesiit A. 29. Sveinhaug J. (G)
Coaches
Isnes J.
Georgson A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Gabrielsen R. ⚽, Olsen T. (A),
5', 1 - 1, Melkersen E. ⚽, Mehnert M. (A),
7', Hagerup S. 🟨,
35', Tonnesen K. 🟨,
35', 1 - 2, Olsen T. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', Ibrahimaj Y. 🟨,
65', Andersen E. ↓, Moller N. ↑,
70', Karlsbakk M. ↓, Asen G. ↑,
71', 2 - 2, Moller N. ⚽, Vilsvik L. (A),
72', Tonnesen K. ↓, Hoff V. ↑,
72', Felix Va ↓, Charles U. ↑,
72', Moller N. 🟨,
79', Mehnert M. 🟨,
83', Kitolano E. ↓, Karlin A. ↑,
83', Olsen T. ↓, Bolly M. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 2, Melkersen E. ⚽, Vilsvik L. (A),
Preview
This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 12).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Strømsgodset won 1.
Strømsgodset has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Lillestrøm is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Strømsgodset could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Strømsgodset: Enersen O.
(Injury)
Hanssen S.
(Injury)
There will not play in Lillestrøm: Knudtzon E.
(Injury)
Ranger L.
(Injury)
Roseth M.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Lillestrøm: Hoff V.
(Injury)
Solberg E.
(Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Strømsgodset won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 35-35.
Including matches at home between the teams Strømsgodset won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 25-15.