Match Info

2. Liga - Round 16

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Solarstadion Gleisdorf (Gleisdorf)

Referee: Barmaksiz S. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1, ORF On, ORF Sport+
Germany	Laola1
Switzerland	LAOLA1


	Sturm Graz B		Amstetten

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.6	3.7	1.88
	3.89	3.9	1.86
	3.53	4.02	1.88	Watch
	3.6	3.6	1.8
	3.96	3.76	1.82	Watch
	3.75	3.8	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↓ (3.93)	3.8 ↓ (3.83)	1.84 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sturm Graz B
25%

Draw
24.5%

Amstetten
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

24.1%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

23.6%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sturm Graz B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Amstetten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz B than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amstetten than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	10%	80%

Sturm Graz B - Amstetten Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Amstetten (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Users Predictions: Amstetten will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
53. Khudyakov D. (G) 2. Bakhty S. 11. Gurmann T. 9. Jastrzembski D. 29. Koita Y. 33. Lazarre W. 30. Mustafic S. 45. Nsumbu D. 31. Pernot B. 27. Pirker S. 13. Wolf J.	1. Estevao T. (G) 14. Conateh A. 12. Deinhofer L. 8. Eisschill Y. 48. Gragger M. 2. Kochl F. 16. Mayer T. 9. Peham D. 19. Pertlwieser N. 4. Wimhofer L. 18. Wimmer S.
Substitutes
5. Burger D. 1. Donat N. (G) 44. Kante A. 66. Morgenstern L. 47. Osayantin R. 56. Petritsch J. 35. Weinhandl L.	11. Davies G. 38. Grandl P. 20. Grubhofer M. 27. Kuffour L. 32. Scherz B. (G) 10. Steiger J. 17. Wurdinger M.
Coaches
Wurm C.	Enengl P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Lazarre W. ⚽, Nsumbu D. (A),
41', Koita Y. 🟨,
45+1', Eisschill Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Gurmann T. ↓, Weinhandl L. ↑,
53', 2 - 0, Nsumbu D. ⚽, Weinhandl L. (A),
54', Mayer T. 🟨,
59', 2 - 1, Pirker S. (Own goal),
60', 2 - 2, Peham D. ⚽,
61', Kochl F. 🟨,
62', Gragger M. ↓, Grubhofer M. ↑,
62', Eisschill Y. ↓, Davies G. ↑,
62', Mayer T. ↓, Steiger J. ↑,
63', Jastrzembski D. ↓, Osayantin R. ↑,
64', 2 - 3, Peham D. ⚽, Grubhofer M. (A),
66', Estevao T. 🟥,
67', Conateh A. ↓, Scherz B. ↑,
68', 3 - 3, Mustafic S. (Penalty Awarded),
79', Kochl F. ↓, Wurdinger M. ↑,
84', Lazarre W. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
90', Koita Y. ↓, Burger D. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sturm B won 3.

Sturm B has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Amstetten is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sturm B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Amstetten will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sturm B won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.9:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sturm B won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Sturm Graz B - the odds 3.93 are the expected chance of winning is 23.48%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sturm Graz B
Austrian 2 Liga
29.11.25	Rapid Wien II - Sturm Graz B	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Sturm Graz B - SPG Wels	0:3 ✺
08.11.25	Austria Salzburg - Sturm Graz B	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Sturm Graz B - Admira	1:1 ✺
24.10.25	Austria Klagenfurt - Sturm Graz B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TLWTT
- SKU Amstetten
Austrian 2 Liga
28.11.25	Amstetten - Austria Lustenau	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Austria Klagenfurt - Amstetten	0:2 ✺
07.11.25	Amstetten - Stripfing	Amstetten awarded ✺
01.11.25	First Vienna - Amstetten	2:3 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
29.10.25	Amstetten - Wolfsberger	2:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WW?WL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian 2 Liga
01.08.25	Amstetten - Sturm Graz B	2:0
08.03.25	Sturm Graz B - Amstetten	2:1
23.08.24	Amstetten - Sturm Graz B	3:1
19.04.24	Amstetten - Sturm Graz B	1:4
01.10.23	Sturm Graz B - Amstetten	3:2
21.04.23	Amstetten - Sturm Graz B	5:0
16.10.22	Sturm Graz B - Amstetten	3:1

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