Match Info

AUSTRIA: 2. Liga - Round 13

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Merkur-Arena (Graz)

Referee: Gmeiner G. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1, ORF Sport+, ORF TVthek
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, LAOLA1


	Sturm Graz B		Ried

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.2	3.6	1.98
	3.3	3.75	2
	3.35	3.96	2.08
	3.41	3.76	1.98	Watch
	3.39	3.7	2	Watch
	3.2	3.75	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↓ (4.16)	3.75 ↓ (4.4)	2.02 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sturm Graz B
28.4%

Draw
25%

Ried
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

21.3%

56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

57.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sturm Graz B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sturm Graz B's performance.

Ried has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ried might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz B than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sturm Graz B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ried than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ried could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Sturm Graz B - Ried Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sturm B will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Ried will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Bignetti M. (G) 14. Beganovic B. 6. Haider G. 43. Hodl J. 8. Kern M. 9. Kiedl P. 30. Mustafic S. 11. Sarkaria M. 4. Schopp K. 18. Sorg O. 37. Stosic N.	1. Leitner A. (G) 28. Eza W. 10. Grosse M. 5. Havenaar N. 26. Mayer J. 17. Pomer P. 8. Rasner M. 23. Sollbauer M. 30. Steurer O. 29. van Wyk A. 31. Wohlmuth F.
Substitutes
20. Afrifa L. 10. Ilic A. 29. Koita Y. 41. Lorenz E. (G) 27. Pirker S. 21. Scharmer T. 13. Wolf J.	3. Agbenyenu L. 12. Bajic A. 43. Celic N. 47. Mankowski A. 7. Marinsek N. 18. Rossdorfer F. 77. Wimmer F. (G)
Coaches
Saumel J.	Senft M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', Mayer J. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Eza W. ⚽, Wohlmuth F. (A),
44', Hodl J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Rasner M. 🟨,
49', Beganovic B. 🟨,
57', Kern M. ↓, Scharmer T. ↑,
57', Sorg O. ↓, Wolf J. ↑,
59', Rasner M. ↓, Marinsek N. ↑,
59', van Wyk A. ↓, Bajic A. ↑,
65', 0 - 2, Grosse M. ⚽, Pomer P. (A),
69', Beganovic B. ↓, Ilic A. ↑,
69', Hodl J. ↓, Afrifa L. ↑,
70', Marinsek N. 🟨,
77', Eza W. ↓, Rossdorfer F. ↑,
81', Schopp K. 🟨,
84', Kiedl P. ↓, Koita Y. ↑,
89', 0 - 3, Rossdorfer F. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 3).

Sturm Graz B in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ried is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sturm Graz B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ried is a favorite.

There will not play in Sturm Graz B: Borkovic A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Ried: Sane S. (Injury) Stoger D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Ried: Bajic A. (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sturm Graz B won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:6 (average 0:3).

Including matches at home between the teams Sturm Graz B won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sturm Graz B
Austrian 2 Liga
01.11.24	St. Pölten - Sturm Graz B	0:2 ✺
26.10.24	Sturm Graz B - Admira	3:1 ✺
18.10.24	Horn - Sturm Graz B	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
10.10.24	Sturm Graz B - Floridsdorfer AC	4:2 ✺
Austrian 2 Liga
04.10.24	First Vienna - Sturm Graz B	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.5 WWTWW
- SV Ried
Austrian 2 Liga
01.11.24	Admira - Ried	1:0 ✺
25.10.24	Ried - Kapfenberger SV	3:0 ✺
18.10.24	Austria Lustenau - Ried	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Ried - St. Pölten	2:4 ✺
27.09.24	Ried - Rapid Wien II	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian 2 Liga
17.05.24	Ried - Sturm Graz B	1:0
06.12.23	Sturm Graz B - Ried	0:5

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