Match Info

URUGUAY: Segunda Division - Round 4

Date: 2 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Juan Antonio Lavalleja (Minas)


	Sud América		Juventud de Las Piedras

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.1
	3.25	3.1	2.15
	3.32	3.18	2.16
	3.32	3.18	2.16
	3.2	3.1	2.1
	3.26	3.2	2.1
	3.25	3.15	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↓ (4.05)	3.14 ↓ (3.3)	2.13 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sud América
28.1%

Draw
29%

Juventud de Las Piedras
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

27.8%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

26.9%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sud América has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sud América's performance.

Juventud de Las Piedras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juventud de Las Piedras might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sud América than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sud América that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud de Las Piedras than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juventud de Las Piedras could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sud América - Juventud de Las Piedras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Gonzalez M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IA Sud América
Uruguayan Segunda Division
26.05.24	Montevideo City Torque - Sud América	2:0 ✺
19.05.24	Sud América - Albion Montevideo	2:1 ✺
11.05.24	Colón Montevideo - Sud América	2:2 ✺
27.04.24	Sud América - La Luz	1:0 ✺
21.04.24	Juventud de Las Piedras - Sud América	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 LWTWL
- Juventud de Las Piedras
Uruguayan Segunda Division
25.05.24	Juventud de Las Piedras - La Luz	2:1 ✺
19.05.24	Uruguay Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:2 ✺
10.05.24	Juventud de Las Piedras - Rentistas	1:1 ✺
04.05.24	Montevideo City Torque - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:0 ✺
27.04.24	Uruguay Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
21.04.24	Juventud de Las Piedras - Sud América	2:0
03.11.23	Juventud de Las Piedras - Sud América	2:0
18.06.23	Sud América - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:1
28.08.22	Sud América - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:2
04.06.22	Juventud de Las Piedras - Sud América	1:0
19.01.21	Juventud de Las Piedras - Sud América	1:0
03.12.20	Sud América - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:0

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